Chiefs vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction
The Chiefs travel to Western New York as the lone undefeated team in the NFL this season after extending their current win streak to 15 games with last weekend’s narrow 16-14 victory over Denver. The Bills made it five in a row with last Sunday’s 30-20 victory in Indianapolis and now enjoy a healthy 4.5-game lead over second-place Miami in the AFC East standings.
The Bills return home perched as 2.5-point favourites on the NFL Week 11 odds. The Chiefs trail as +115 underdogs on the NFL moneyline and the total is pegged at 46.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Sunday afternoon’s matchup marks the first meeting between these conference rivals since the Chiefs bounced Buffalo from the postseason for the third time in four years with a 27-24 victory in last season’s AFC Divisional Round. While the Chiefs have held the upper hand in playoff action, it is the Bills that have dominated in head-to-head regular season matchups, winning four of their past five, capped by a 20-17 victory last December. However, the Bills have struggled in recent dates with the Chiefs on home turf, losing three straight. Meetings between these teams have tended to be low-scoring affairs. That is particularly true when they clash in Buffalo, where the Bills have averaged just 14.3 points per game during their 0-3 head-to-head run. Overall, five of their past seven dates have been settled by just a single score, with road teams covering the spread in seven of their past eight dates.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs needed a second-half rally to eke out their 16-14 win over the Broncos last weekends and have now needed to overcome halftime deficits in each of their past two games and in five of their ten wins so far this season. Not surprisingly, the Chiefs have also seen seven of their first 10 games decided by a single score including three of their four road games to date. That has done little to help them on the NFL odds, where Kansas City has now failed to cover in three straight outings. The squad were lucky to escape with a win last week in their poorest offensive performance of the season after failing to find the endzone on two second-half drives into the Broncos redzone. Patrick Mahomes did just enough to give this team a chance to win while tossing for 266 yards and one score. However, with both his receiving corps and backfield hampered by a rash of injuries that have landed JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman, DeAndre Hopkins, Kareem Hunt, and Isiah Pacheco on the injury report, the question of who will do the scoring on Sunday looms large.
Buffalo Bills
Currently riding a seven-game win streak in regular season action on home turf, the Bills can take a big step towards clinching top spot in the AFC East with a win on Sunday. After struggling on offence during a two-game slide that started in late September, the Bills have rediscovered their scoring mojo during their current 5-0 run. Buffalo has scored at least 30 points in each of its past four games and averaged 29.6 points per game during their five-game, which has also featured a trio of wins by double-digit margins. Josh Allen has remained the straw that stirs the drink while tossing for multiple scores four times during the team’s current surge. Allen failed to throw for a TD last weekend, but did run for his fourth score of the season in a contest where the defence shone while forcing four turnovers including a pick-six on the Colts’ first snap of the game. Overall, the Bills have allowed just nine total points in the first 15 minutes in their past four games and can help their own cause with another stingy effort on Sunday.
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