Chiefs vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 20, 2018

patrick mahomes chiefs

The only early-afternoon start on the entire Week 3 pre-season schedule around the NFL is Saturday’s Chiefs-Bears matchup from Solider Field with a 1 p.m. ET kickoff.

August 25, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
Pointspread -6.5 -110
Moneyline -270
Over / Under o +43
Pointspread +6.5 -110
Moneyline +220
Over / Under u +43

One major story line for Saturday’s Chiefs at Bears pre-season game surrounds new Chicago head coach Matt Nagy. He was Kansas City’s offensive coordinator last season under long-time Chiefs coach Andy Reid.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bears were looking for an offensive guy after ranking 30th in total offence a season ago with then-rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky struggling. Nagy’s Chiefs finished fifth in offence, although they did collapse in their playoff loss to the Tennessee Titans. This will be Nagy’s home debut as the Bears (1-2) played in the Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio, lost Week 2 in Cincinnati and won last Saturday in Denver 24-23.

Reid, meanwhile, is 37-37-4 against the spread in his head coaching career in the preseason. That’s 1-1 this year as the Chiefs opened the exhibition schedule with a 17-10 home loss to Houston but won last Friday in Atlanta 28-14.

Starters on both sides should play the entire first half barring injury. That’s general protocol in Week 3 of the preseason (although this is Chicago’s fourth game). These teams last met in the pre-season in 2016, a 23-7 Chiefs road win. The most recent regular-season meeting was in 2015, an 18-17 Bears road victory.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have turned over their team to QB Patrick Mahomes, who was taken No. 10 overall in the 2017 draft … eight spots after the Bears selected Trubisky. Anyone who watched last week’s Chiefs-Falcons game saw why Kansas City is so high on Mahomes as he threw a 70-yard frozen rope to Tyreek Hill for a spectacular touchdown. Mahomes has a cannon for an arm and reminds many of a young Brett Favre. Kansas City is a bit thin in the secondary with cornerback Steven Nelson leaving the Falcons game with a concussion and starting safety Eric Berry dealing with a heel injury. He missed nearly all of last season with an Achilles rupture.

Chicago Bears

Bears fans should get their first game look at 2018 first-round draft pick and former Georgia star linebacker Roquan Smith in this one. He missed all of training camp due to a holdout but signed early last week. He didn’t play in the win over Denver. Trubisky has been up-and-down this pre-season. He didn’t play the opener and then barely in the Bears’ second game. Against the Broncos, he was 9-for-14 for 90 yards with a touchdown and interception. His backup, former Chief Chase Daniel, was better in going 19-for-28 for 189 yards in two scores in leading the comeback win. There’s no QB controversy, though.

Starting tight end Adam Shaheen suffered a scary-looking ankle injury vs. Denver but reportedly has avoided anything too serious. He’s out the rest of the preseason. Linebacker Leonard Floyd is in question for this one after leaving vs. the Broncos with a hand injury. He’s the team’s primary pass-rusher.

Chiefs vs. Bears Prediction