Chargers vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Week 10 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Nov 11, 2020

Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins, 2020

It’s Tua time in Miami with the Dolphins rookie signal-caller winning his first two NFL starts. Last week he threw for 248 yards and two touchdowns in the win.

AT
November 15, 2020, 4:05 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
10-6
Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +48.5

31%

Betting Action

69%

Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -126
Over / Under u +48.5

31%

Betting Action

69%

One rookie quarterback down, next one up for the 5-3 Miami Dolphins who are coming off a win against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9, and now host Justin Herbert and the 2-6 Los Angeles Chargers.

With Tua Tagovailoa winning football games and playoffs in the picture, Week 10 comes off as a trap game for Miami. The Chargers are better than their record shows, while Miami’s coming off four-straight wins.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Early odds indicate this may be a trap for Miami too, who are just 2.5-point favourites despite being at home and having three more wins than Los Angeles. Don’t forget the Chargers are travelling across to the eastern time zone into South Beach, which the other Los Angeles football team got a rude awakening to in Week 8.

Miami’s won 11 of their last 15 meetings with the Chargers, and Los Angeles has also dropped 11 of their last 14 against the AFC but the real trend is within the total.

Fifteen of the last Dolphins–Chargers 16 games have gone under. The over-under is set for 48 on Sunday, but of course it’s buyer beware as the over has hit in five straight Chargers games.

Los Angeles Chargers

The tough losses continue to pile up for Anthony Lynn’s club after a final-play touchdown against Oakland was overturned for a Chargers loss instead. This comes on top of Los Angeles blowing three-straight 17-point leads. They’ve lost twice in overtime, and in back-to-back weeks in which the clock was at zeros with the game’s outcome undecided.

So how does a team turn those heartbreaking defeats into victories? Justin Herbert continuing his stellar play is a good start, as the 2020 sixth overall pick has tossed 17 touchdowns and five interceptions in seven starts, ranking third in the NFL with 306.6 yards per game.

The improvements lie on defence, where L.A. ranks 29th with 4.9 yards per rush against. They felt Joey Bosa’s absence last week, giving up 160 rushing yards in a losing effort.

Miami Dolphins

It’s Tua time in Miami with the Dolphins rookie signal-caller winning his first two NFL starts. The 2020 5th overall pick played much better last week, throwing for 248 yards and two touchdowns in the win.

Miami’s defence should be making the headlines though, as they’ve given up 16 points per game in their last three and have scored in back-to-back outings. It’s still a bend-but-don’t-break situation, with Miami giving up nearly 1,200 yards in their last three.

One category Miami could better themselves in still is their ground game. No Dolphins running back eclipsed 40 yards last week, and with Myles Gaskin starting the majority of the year they still rank 28th in rushing yards per game. The Chargers are what the doctor ordered too.

Who Will Win Chargers vs. Dolphins?

SportsInteraction