Chargers vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Week 15 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 10, 2018

Thursday's winner probably takes the AFC West, while the loser is headed on the road in the opening weekend of the playoffs as a wild-card team.

AT
December 13, 2018, 8:20 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread +4 -110
Moneyline +170
Over / Under o +55

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread -4 -110
Moneyline -200
Over / Under u +55

58%

Betting Action

42%

It’s the final Thursday night game of the 2018 NFL season in Week 15, and it’s fitting that it’s easily the most important TNF matchup of the year as the Chargers visit the Chiefs.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Some terrific Thursday night matchups this season: Vikings-Rams, Packers-Seahawks and Saints-Cowboys all stand out. The home team won all three, by the way. However, none match in importance what Chargers at Chiefs does to kick off Week 15 to close out the TNF schedule.

The winner probably takes the AFC West – that’s a done deal if Kansas City is the victor but not if L.A. wins – and is in position for home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs. Only one team can win the division, so the loser is headed on the road in the opening weekend of the playoffs as a wild-card team.

Kansas City could lose this game and still claim the division because it won at the Chargers in Week 1, 38-28. That’s when the world was introduced to how spectacular Chiefs second-year QB Patrick Mahomes was going to be. He threw for 256 yards and four touchdowns. Tyreek Hill caught two of them and also returned a punt 91 yards for a score. The Chargers outgained the Chiefs 541-256 but turned the ball over twice to none for the visitors – who were also much better on special teams.

The Chiefs have won the past nine in this series and covered the past four.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers were the biggest Week 14 favourites at -14 and escaped with a 26-21 victory over the visiting Cincinnati Bengals. Michael Badgley kicked four field goals, including a team-record 59-yarder. Philip Rivers threw for 220 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers played their second game in a row without Pro Bowl running back Melvin Gordon due to a knee injury. There’s a decent chance he plays Thursday and with the huge stakes, this writer guesses he does. Austin Ekeler carried the load with Gordon out vs. the Bengals with 66 yards and a score rushing and two catches. L.A. is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 December games.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City clinched a playoff spot Sunday with a 27-24 overtime win over Baltimore. Mahomes tied it with 53 seconds to go on a 5-yard TD pass to Damien Williams on fourth down. Harrison Butker won it on a 35-yard field goal with 4:42 in OT; he had missed from 43 yards as time expired in regulation. Mahomes finished with 377 yards and two TD throws. Williams also rushed for a score as he’s now seeing plenty of playing time with Kareem Hunt released. Tyreek Hill caught eight passes for 139 yards, including a 48-yarder on fourth down (amazing play by Mahomes) to set up the game-tying touchdown. It was a great day all around for K.C. because both New England and Houston lost so the Chiefs are now two games clear of both for the AFC’s top seed. Kansas City is 12-3 ATS in its past 15 AFC West games.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction

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