Buccaneers vs. Lions Point Spread: NFL Week 16 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 21, 2020


While the Patriots’ amazing streak of playoff appearances has ended this season, Tom Brady’s will almost surely continue now that he’s with Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay
December 26, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Pointspread -12.5 -115
Moneyline -700
Over / Under o +55.5


Betting Action


Pointspread +12.5 -105
Moneyline +545
Over / Under u +55.5


Betting Action


There’s an NFL tripleheader on the day after Christmas, and the first game with a 1 p.m. ET kickoff is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looking to clinch a playoff spot when they visit the Detroit Lions, who opened as 8-point underdogs on the NFL odds with a total of 53.5.

NFL Week 16 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

While the New England Patriots’ amazing streak of playoff appearances has ended this season, Tom Brady’s will almost surely continue now that he’s with Tampa Bay. Brady hasn’t missed the playoffs in a season in which he played at least 12 games since 2002. That was the only time he did so with the Pats, who did miss the postseason in 2008, but Brady suffered a season-ending injury in Week 1. Brady of course played collegiately just south of Detroit in Ann Arbor.

As for Detroit, it is playing out the string on another losing season with big changes coming this winter. Both general manager Bob Quinn and coach Matt Patricia were fired a few weeks ago. San Francisco 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh, a Michigan native, and University of Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh are considered favourites for Patricia’s job. There’s also talk the Lions could trade franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford while the 32-year-old still has good value and simply start a full-blown rebuild.

These teams have split the past 10 meetings straight up, with the Lions covering the spread in seven of those. They met last December also at Ford Field and the Bucs rolled to a 38-17 victory. Stafford was out for the season injured then and David Blough got the start. He wasn’t good. Jameis Winston (now with New Orleans) torched Detroit for 458 yards passing and four scores.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs will be in the postseason with a win and still could earn a spot with a loss – they still have an outside shot to win the NFC South but would need to win out and have the Saints lose twice, and New Orleans isn’t likely to do that. For whatever reason, Tampa Bay tends to start really slow this season and then blow up in the second half. That’s what happened Sunday in Atlanta as the Bucs were down 17-0 at the half but won 31-27.

Brady had 390 yards and two TD passes, including the go-ahead 46-yards score to Antonio Brown in the fourth quarter – Brown’s first TD catch with Tampa Bay. The Bucs were without top running back Ronald Jones due to finger surgery, but he probably returns for this one. Tampa has covered just one of its previous 11 Saturday games.

Detroit Lions

The Lions weren’t sure if they would have Stafford on Sunday at Tennessee, but he gutted it out through a ribs injury and threw for 252 yards and a TD in a 46-25 loss. Stafford did leave late but only because it was a blowout. Still, it wouldn’t shock if he’s shut down the final two games. Top wideout Kenny Golladay hasn’t played in weeks due to injury and is surely done. The Lions had three turnovers vs. the Titans and allowed 463 yards and 28 first downs. On Monday morning, the team fired special teams coordinator Brayden Coombs.

Detroit actually has been pretty solid on special teams this year, but Coombs called a fake punt vs. the Titans without interim head coach Darrell Bevell’s knowledge. The Lions are 6-13 ATS in their past 19 as underdogs.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Buccaneers vs. Lions?