Browns vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Week 2 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 11, 2018

myles garrett browns

Myles Garrett may look like a stud on Cleveland's defence, but the Browns could have their hands full this weekend against New Orleans' star-studded offence.

Cleveland
7-8
AT
September 16, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Pointspread +9.5 -105
Moneyline +400
Over / Under o +51

34%

Betting Action

66%

Pointspread -9.5 -115
Moneyline -525
Over / Under u +51

34%

Betting Action

66%

The Cleveland Browns opened the season with something other than a loss for the first time since 2004. While they didn’t win, the Browns will take plenty of positives from a 21-21 tie with the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1. The challenge is that this week, they’re in New Orleans facing a fuming Saints team that suffered a bad beat in Week 1. Can the Browns cover, win or not lose as a big dog for a second straight week?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

After covering against the Steelers, Cleveland is still just 6-17 against the spread as an underdog ranging from +3.5 to +9.5 over the last three seasons. The Browns are 0-8 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. On the other hand, Cleveland has had some success against New Orleans in the past. The Browns are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Saints.

Meanwhile, New Orleans had won eight straight home games before losing to the Buccaneers in Week 1. However, the Saints are just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against AFC North division opponents since 1992. It’s worth noting that the total has gone over in five of New Orleans’ last six games. That trend could very well continue this Sunday.

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland relied heavily on its rushing attack and defence to nearly upset Pittsburgh in Week 1. The Browns will need more from starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor if they are going to take another step and pick up that elusive win. Taylor went 15-of-40 for 197 yards with a touchdown and an interception against the Steelers. He completed some nice throws to Josh Gordon and Jarvis Landry but needs to be a lot more consistent moving forward. Taylor did make some big plays with his legs on the ground as he ran for 77 yards and a score. Taylor, Carlos Hyde, Nick Chub and Duke Johnson Jr. combined for 177 rushing yards and two touchdowns versus Pittsburgh. Cleveland will likely lean heavily on its rushing attack again versus the Saints to keep the Saints explosive offense on the sidelines.

Meanwhile, the playmakers on the Browns defence put on a show in their opener with defensive end Myles Garrett and cornerback Denzel Ward in particular standing out. Garrett had two sacks and three tackles for a loss while Ward had two interceptions. Cleveland has invested heavily in that side of the football over the last few years and it looks like it’s starting to pay dividends.

New Orleans Saints

Speaking of defence, there is nowhere to go but up for a Saints defence that was absolutely torched by Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers in Week 1. New Orleans improved dramatically on that side of the football last season. Now they face the pressure of expectations as a key factor in whether or not New Orleans will contend for a Super Bowl this season. The Saints offense certainly did its part in Week 1. Drew Brees threw for 439 yards and three touchdowns. Running back Alvin Kamara went off for 141 yards and three touchdowns. New Orleans will face a tougher test in Week 2 but this offense has the potential to put up some big numbers once again. The key for the Saints will be whether or not the defence can slow down the Cleveland run game. If the Browns are chipping away, collecting first downs and milking the clock, the Saints will once again lack rhythm.

While this team has a tendency to start slow (0-2 in each of the last four seasons), this feels like a spot where they simply won’t suffer another letdown.

Browns vs. Saints Prediction

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