Browns vs. Lions Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Aug 28, 2018

baker mayfield browns

The Cleveland Browns are coming off an ugly 5-0 win over the Philadelphia Eagles last week but for a team that didn’t win a single regular season game last year, they’ll take any victory they can get.

August 30, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Pointspread -2 -110
Moneyline -135
Over / Under o +35.5
Pointspread +2 -110
Moneyline +115
Over / Under u +35.5

Now they’ll wrap-up their pre-season on the road in Detroit while facing a Lions team that’s looked lousy in the pre-season. To their credit, the Lions did come back from a 21-point deficit last week to beat Tampa Bay 33-30 but their starters were whipped on both sides of the ball. It took a 20-point fourth quarter from the backups to make this happen. The Lions have plenty of concerns as the regular season approaches.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

We obviously don’t know much about Matt Patricia and how much he cares about these games as he’s a first-year head coach. However, the Lions haven’t show a lot of fight outside of their second-half comeback against Tampa Bay, so that’s a sign.

As for Hue Jackson, he’s 6-9 in pre-season games but his Browns have won six of their last seven in the pre-season. That’s a telling sign even though he’s just 1-2 in Week 4.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns are likely favored in this spot because we’re expected to see Baker Mayfield in this game. He’s looked fairly good in what we’ve seen so far, so that gives Cleveland an edge. With him being the first overall pick, that means that everyone around him will be trying hard too, so that they don’t hang him out to dry.

The Browns have run the ball well in the pre-season, picking up 138 rushing yards last week and 164 and a pair of touchdowns against the Bills. They only had 50 rushing yards against the Giants but they had 322 passing yards and three touchdowns in that contest – 212 of which came from Mayfield.

With Mayfield playing, it shows that the Browns care about this game slightly more. And they’ve been the better pre-season team anyway, so they’re the team to bet.

Detroit Lions

Even though Detroit is at home, we see them posted as a home dog, so that’s a telling sign. They’ve been pathetic in pre-season play and the local fans are hoping that it’s merely a lack of effort. Detroit scored just 27 points in total in their first two games and while Matt Stafford and the starters played extensively in Week 3, they managed just six points in the first half.

One of the biggest issues is the Lions can’t run the ball. The running backs had their best game last week, though, as they managed 122 yards and a touchdown on 28 carries. They had a total of 155 rushing yards on 45 carries before that.

But the bigger concern is the defense. The Lions gave up 20 first-half points last week and 333 yards in total. The Raiders compiled 198 rushing yards on them and 345 yards in total. And the Giants had 30 points, 299 yards and three rushing touchdowns. That’s ugly for pre-season stats.

Browns vs. Lions Prediction