Broncos vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Week 13 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 29, 2017


Something has to give Sunday afternoon as the Denver Broncos visit the Miami Dolphins in a matchup of teams dealing with lengthy losing skids.

The Broncos are back on the quarterback carousel as they look to put the brakes on a seven-game losing skid that has transformed them from division contender to playoff outsider. The Dolphins started the season surprisingly strong, but have dropped five in a row to fall out of contention in the AFC East.

Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins

Point spread: Dolphins +1 Date: Sunday, December 2, 1 p.m. ET Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Fla.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This one is a virtual toss-up, with the Broncos drawing as a slight favourite on the strength of a superior defence. It certainly isn’t because of their recent play, as they have failed to cover in seven consecutive games, including three straight-up losses as a clear-cut fave. Denver has also gone 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games. Miami hasn’t been any kinder to bettors, failing to cover in its previous six games overall.

Sports Interaction bettors are leaning toward the Dolphins ever-so-slightly, with 53 percent taking the home team to cover. Bettors are more in harmony with the 38-point total, with 81 percent taking the over. The Broncos are trending toward the under – going 0-5 O/U in their last five against teams with losing records – while the Dolphins have been a solid over play, exceeding the total in six consecutive games entering the weekend.

Denver Broncos

So with everybody having taken a turn at the quarterback wheel, the ride once again belongs to Trevor Siemian, who took over for an injured Paxton Lynch in last week’s 21-14 loss to the Oakland Raiders. With Lynch having suffered a high ankle sprain and Brock Osweiler ineffective in his audition, Siemian will likely start for the rest of the season. Siemian hasn’t won since Oct. 1, throwing four TD passes and six interceptions in four games since.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins had their own quarterback situation to deal with in Week 12, as Matt Moore started in place of the concussed Jay Cutler. But with Moore struggling – he threw for 215 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in a 35-17 loss to the New England Patriots – and Cutler on track to be cleared, Miami might just go back to its un-retired signal caller. On the plus side, Miami has won seven of the previous eight head-to-head meetings with Denver.

Broncos vs. Dolphins prediction

Dolphins 24, Broncos 23