Kansas City comes out of its bye week on a four-game winning streak and still very much in the mix for the AFC’s top seed.
First place in the AFC West is potentially on the line in the Sunday night game in Week 13 as the Denver Broncos visit the Kansas City Chiefs.
Kansas City is a 10-point favourite to win on the NFL odds with a total of 47.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Not all that long ago, the Chiefs were struggling and sat in last place in the AFC West but now lead the division at 7-4 and are -196 favourites to win it for a sixth straight season. Barring injury to quarterback Patrick Mahomes, I expect that to happen. Denver, the LA Chargers and Las Vegas are all 6-5; the AFC West is the only division where every team has a winning record. The Broncos are +1000 to win the division.
Kansas City has swept the season series vs. Denver five straight years. The Broncos were competitive at Arrowhead Stadium in 2020, losing 22-16. Harrison Butker had five field goals for KC and Mahomes threw for 318 yards and a touchdown. Drew Lock was the Denver QB and had two touchdown passes but also two picks. Lock shouldn’t see the field Sunday unless Teddy Bridgewater is injured.
These teams play again Week 18 in Denver, which should be rather fun weather-wise. The road team is 6-1 against the spread in the past seven meetings.
Denver Broncos
Every time it appears the Broncos are about to fade into irrelevance this season, they win a game they weren’t supposed to. Denver was a short home underdog Sunday but knocked off the Los Angeles Chargers 28-13 thanks in large part to rookie cornerback Patrick Surtain II picking off two Justin Herbert passes and returning one 70 yards for a score. Surtain would probably win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year most seasons, but Dallas linebacker Micah Parsons has been historically good and should win it.
The Broncos rushed for 147 yards and two scores so Teddy Bridgewater wasn’t asked to do much, completing 11 of 18 for 129 yards and a TD. He did leave for a while with a leg injury but it’s not expected to keep him out of this game. Left tackle Calvin Anderson (left knee) and left guard Dalton Risner (back) exited and didn’t return. Anderson was already playing in place of Garett Bolles, who is on the COVID-19 reserve list but has a chance to play this week. Denver is 1-4 ATS in its past five vs. AFC foes.
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City comes out of its bye week on a four-game winning streak and still very much in the mix for the AFC’s top seed because every team in the conference has at least four losses other than 8-3 Baltimore. The Chiefs would lose a tiebreaker to the Ravens, Bills and Titans due to head-to-head defeats. Patrick Mahomes is still prone to an interception this season with 11 but has been taking care of the ball better in the winning streak. Teams have been not blitzing the Chiefs to confuse Mahomes (and keep as many guys as possible in coverage) and it has worked. Few coaches can adjust better, though, than Andy Reid and he’s a ridiculous 19-3 in the regular season out of a bye week dating to his Eagles days. Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its past six as a home favourite.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Broncos vs. Chiefs?
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time | fav | line | total |
---|---|---|---|
Opening 23 Nov 11:00pm | DEN | -9.5 -110 | O +49.5 -110 |
Closing 6 Dec 12:34am | DEN | -9 -110 | O +47 -105 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Broncos Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
918 |
Passing |
3052 |
Receiving |
68 |
Sacks |
6 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
558 |
Passing |
4839 |
Receiving |
111 |
Sacks |
9 |
Interceptions |
3 |
Touchdowns | |
Rushing | |
Passing | Did not qualify |
Receiving | |
Sacks | |
Interceptions |
Touchdowns |
4 |
Rushing |
150 |
Passing |
1057 |
Receiving |
23 |
Sacks |
2 |
Interceptions |
1 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Chiefs Team Leaders
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
918 |
Passing |
3052 |
Receiving |
68 |
Sacks |
6 |
Interceptions |
5 |
Touchdowns |
10 |
Rushing |
558 |
Passing |
4839 |
Receiving |
111 |
Sacks |
9 |
Interceptions |
3 |
Touchdowns | |
Rushing | |
Passing | Did not qualify |
Receiving | |
Sacks | |
Interceptions |
Touchdowns |
4 |
Rushing |
150 |
Passing |
1057 |
Receiving |
23 |
Sacks |
2 |
Interceptions |
1 |
Weather

temp | 55 |
condition | cloudy |
wind | Northwest 15mph |
Injuries
Bobby Massie (T)
Nate Hairston (CB)
Noah Fant (TE)
Melvin Gordon III (RB)
Shelby Harris (DE)
Kareem Jackson (S)
Shamar Stephen (DL)
Pat Surtain II (CB)
Javonte Williams (RB)
Drew Lock (QB)
Christian Rozeboom (LB)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB)
Mecole Hardman (WR)
Anthony Hitchens (LB)
L'Jarius Sneed (DB)
Charvarius Ward (CB)
Andrew Wylie (G)
Willie Gay (LB)
Anthony Hitchens (LB)
Prince Tega Wanogho (T)
Injuries
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bobby Massie (T) | Out Sat | Concussion - 08 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Massie will not suit up against the Chiefs on Saturday due to a concussion. |
|||||
Nate Hairston (CB) | Out indefinitely | Illness - 06 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Hairston has been added to the IR/COVID-19 list, and it has yet to be decided when he will return to action. |
|||||
Noah Fant (TE) | Prob Sat | Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Fant is tending to a quadricep injury, but it is anticipated that he will be active for Saturday's battle with the Chiefs. |
|||||
Melvin Gordon III (RB) | Prob Sat | Hip - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Gordon III is hampered by a hip injury, but it is likely that he will face the Chiefs on Saturday. |
|||||
Shelby Harris (DE) | Ques Sat | Ankle - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Harris is managing an ankle injury, and it is up in the air if he will partake in Saturday's tilt against the Chiefs. |
|||||
Kareem Jackson (S) | I-R | Back - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Jackson has been ticketed for the injured reserve list due to a back and shoulder injury. |
|||||
Shamar Stephen (DL) | Prob Sat | Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Stephen is dealing with a quadricep injury, but it is projected that he will be in Saturday's lineup versus the Chiefs. |
|||||
Pat Surtain II (CB) | Out indefinitely | Calf - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Surtain II has been placed on the injured reserve list with a calf injury, and a date for his return is unclear. |
|||||
Javonte Williams (RB) | Prob Sat | Knee - 04 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Williams is managing a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will take the field Saturday versus the Chiefs. |
|||||
Drew Lock (QB) | Prob Sat | Shoulder - 03 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 1-0 | + - |
Lock is expected to partake in Saturday's game against the Chiefs despite a shoulder injury. |
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Rozeboom (LB) | Prob Sun | Elbow - 02 / 02 / 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | + - |
Rozeboom is managing an elbow ailment, but it is likely that he will lace up against the Bengals for the 2022 Super Bowl. |
|||||
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB) | Prob Sun | Shoulder - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Edwards-Helaire is expected to lace up against the Bengals in the AFC championship game despite a shoulder injury. |
|||||
Mecole Hardman (WR) | Prob Sun | Hip - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Hardman is likely to line up against the Bengals in the AFC championship game despite a hip ailment. |
|||||
Anthony Hitchens (LB) | Prob Sun | Back - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Hitchens is bothered by a back injury, but he is likely to play in the AFC championship game versus the Bengals. |
|||||
L'Jarius Sneed (DB) | Prob Sun | Knee - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Sneed is dealing with a knee issue, but it is anticipated that he will face the Bengals in the AFC championship game. |
|||||
Charvarius Ward (CB) | Prob Sun | Neck - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Ward is projected to line up for the AFC championship game against the Bengals despite a neck injury. |
|||||
Andrew Wylie (G) | Prob Sun | Elbow - 27 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 1-0 | + - |
Wylie is bothered by an elbow issue, but he is likely to be a participant in the AFC championship game versus the Bengals. |
|||||
Willie Gay (LB) | Prob Sun | Personal - 20 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 2-0 | + - |
Gay is dealing with an off-field matter, but it is likely that he will be a participant in the AFC divisional round against the Bills. |
|||||
Anthony Hitchens (LB) | Ques Sun | Back - 20 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 2-0 | + - |
Hitchens is battling a back injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take on the Bills in the AFC divisional round. |
|||||
Prince Tega Wanogho (T) | Ques Sun | Ribs - 20 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 2-0 | + - |
Wanogho has a rib injury, and it is unclear if he will be available for the AFC championship game versus the Bengals. |
-
DENVER BRONCOS
19 -
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
27
Score
Prediction
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 23 Nov 11:00pm DEN -9.5 -110 O +49.5 -110 Closing 6 Dec 12:34am DEN -9 -110 O +47 -105 -
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Broncos Team Leaders
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 918
Passing 3052
Receiving 68
Sacks 6
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 558
Passing 4839
Receiving 111
Sacks 9
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns Rushing Passing Did not qualify Receiving Sacks Interceptions Touchdowns 4
Rushing 150
Passing 1057
Receiving 23
Sacks 2
Interceptions 1
-
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Chiefs Team Leaders
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 918
Passing 3052
Receiving 68
Sacks 6
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 10
Rushing 558
Passing 4839
Receiving 111
Sacks 9
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns Rushing Passing Did not qualify Receiving Sacks Interceptions Touchdowns 4
Rushing 150
Passing 1057
Receiving 23
Sacks 2
Interceptions 1
-
Weather
temp 55 condition cloudy wind Northwest 15mph -
Injuries
Bobby Massie (T)
Out Sat Concussion - 08 / 01 / 22Nate Hairston (CB)
Out indefinitely Illness - 06 / 01 / 22Noah Fant (TE)
Prob Sat Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22Melvin Gordon III (RB)
Prob Sat Hip - 04 / 01 / 22Shelby Harris (DE)
Ques Sat Ankle - 04 / 01 / 22Kareem Jackson (S)
I-R Back - 04 / 01 / 22Shamar Stephen (DL)
Prob Sat Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22Pat Surtain II (CB)
Out indefinitely Calf - 04 / 01 / 22Javonte Williams (RB)
Prob Sat Knee - 04 / 01 / 22Drew Lock (QB)
Prob Sat Shoulder - 03 / 01 / 22Christian Rozeboom (LB)
Prob Sun Elbow - 02 / 02 / 22Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB)
Prob Sun Shoulder - 27 / 01 / 22Mecole Hardman (WR)
Prob Sun Hip - 27 / 01 / 22Anthony Hitchens (LB)
Prob Sun Back - 27 / 01 / 22L'Jarius Sneed (DB)
Prob Sun Knee - 27 / 01 / 22Charvarius Ward (CB)
Prob Sun Neck - 27 / 01 / 22Andrew Wylie (G)
Prob Sun Elbow - 27 / 01 / 22Willie Gay (LB)
Prob Sun Personal - 20 / 01 / 22Anthony Hitchens (LB)
Ques Sun Back - 20 / 01 / 22Prince Tega Wanogho (T)
Ques Sun Ribs - 20 / 01 / 22Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Bobby Massie (T) Out Sat Concussion - 08 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Massie will not suit up against the Chiefs on Saturday due to a concussion.
Nate Hairston (CB) Out indefinitely Illness - 06 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Hairston has been added to the IR/COVID-19 list, and it has yet to be decided when he will return to action.
Noah Fant (TE) Prob Sat Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Fant is tending to a quadricep injury, but it is anticipated that he will be active for Saturday's battle with the Chiefs.
Melvin Gordon III (RB) Prob Sat Hip - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Gordon III is hampered by a hip injury, but it is likely that he will face the Chiefs on Saturday.
Shelby Harris (DE) Ques Sat Ankle - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Harris is managing an ankle injury, and it is up in the air if he will partake in Saturday's tilt against the Chiefs.
Kareem Jackson (S) I-R Back - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Jackson has been ticketed for the injured reserve list due to a back and shoulder injury.
Shamar Stephen (DL) Prob Sat Quadricep - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Stephen is dealing with a quadricep injury, but it is projected that he will be in Saturday's lineup versus the Chiefs.
Pat Surtain II (CB) Out indefinitely Calf - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Surtain II has been placed on the injured reserve list with a calf injury, and a date for his return is unclear.
Javonte Williams (RB) Prob Sat Knee - 04 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Williams is managing a knee injury, but it is anticipated that he will take the field Saturday versus the Chiefs.
Drew Lock (QB) Prob Sat Shoulder - 03 / 01 / 22 0-1 1-0 + - Lock is expected to partake in Saturday's game against the Chiefs despite a shoulder injury.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Christian Rozeboom (LB) Prob Sun Elbow - 02 / 02 / 22 0-0 0-0 + - Rozeboom is managing an elbow ailment, but it is likely that he will lace up against the Bengals for the 2022 Super Bowl.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB) Prob Sun Shoulder - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Edwards-Helaire is expected to lace up against the Bengals in the AFC championship game despite a shoulder injury.
Mecole Hardman (WR) Prob Sun Hip - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Hardman is likely to line up against the Bengals in the AFC championship game despite a hip ailment.
Anthony Hitchens (LB) Prob Sun Back - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Hitchens is bothered by a back injury, but he is likely to play in the AFC championship game versus the Bengals.
L'Jarius Sneed (DB) Prob Sun Knee - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Sneed is dealing with a knee issue, but it is anticipated that he will face the Bengals in the AFC championship game.
Charvarius Ward (CB) Prob Sun Neck - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Ward is projected to line up for the AFC championship game against the Bengals despite a neck injury.
Andrew Wylie (G) Prob Sun Elbow - 27 / 01 / 22 1-0 1-0 + - Wylie is bothered by an elbow issue, but he is likely to be a participant in the AFC championship game versus the Bengals.
Willie Gay (LB) Prob Sun Personal - 20 / 01 / 22 2-0 2-0 + - Gay is dealing with an off-field matter, but it is likely that he will be a participant in the AFC divisional round against the Bills.
Anthony Hitchens (LB) Ques Sun Back - 20 / 01 / 22 2-0 2-0 + - Hitchens is battling a back injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take on the Bills in the AFC divisional round.
Prince Tega Wanogho (T) Ques Sun Ribs - 20 / 01 / 22 2-0 2-0 + - Wanogho has a rib injury, and it is unclear if he will be available for the AFC championship game versus the Bengals.