The Houston Texans rescued a potentially disastrous start to their campaign with back-to-back overtime victories.
Oddsmakers aren’t forecasting another close game in Week 6. Deshaun Watson and Co. are large home favourites against the up-and-down Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
| time | fav | line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening 10 Oct 8:19pm | BUF | -9.5 -110 | O +41 -110 |
| Closing 14 Oct 1:48pm | BUF | -10 -105 | O +40 -110 |
This line was late being posted because of doubt over the health of Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson. The second-year player told the media he would “for sure” be playing against the Bills this weekend.
Sports Interaction responded by installing the Texans as 9.5-point home chalk against Buffalo. The line has crept up a half point to make the spread an even 10 points. This is the first time Houston has been a double-digit favourite since November 2013. The Texans are 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The Bills are 2-1 straight up in their last three games despite possessing one of the least talented rosters in the NFL. No team in the league has scored fewer points than Buffalo (63) and the club is dead last in passing completion (49.6 percent), total passing yards (609) and yards per pass attempt (5.5).
Despite those ugly numbers, SIA bettors are still backing the Bills to cover. About 73 percent of SIA customers are picking Buffalo to keep the game within 10 points.
Buffalo Bills
Rookie quarterback Josh Allen has two wins under his belt after his first four NFL starts, but the Bills are doing everything possible to hide him on offence. Allen attempted just 19 passes and totaled 82 yards in the air in Buffalo’s 13-12 victory against Tennessee.
The Bills are instead turning to veteran running back LeSean McCoy to move the chains. McCoy had a combined 26 carries and receipts against the Titans a week after touching the ball just eight times against the Packers.
Houston Texans
It’s a completely different story from an offensive side of the ball in Houston. The Texans are relying on Watson to get the ball out to wideouts DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller. That’s partly because of our explosive the receiver duo is and partly because of how poor the ground game has been.
Starting tailback Lamar Miller is averaging just 3.9 yards per carry and Watson accounts for 201 of the team’s 581 total rushing yards.
Weather
| temp | 87 |
| condition | cloudy |
| wind | South 9mph |
Injuries
Deonte Thompson (WR)
Patrick DiMarco (FB)
Corey Thompson (LB)
Stephen Hauschka (K)
Ryan Lewis (CB)
Isaiah McKenzie (WR)
Jason Croom (TE)
Lafayette Pitts (CB)
Russell Bodine (C)
Shaq Lawson (DE)
Gregory Howell Jr. (RB)
Brandon Dunn (NT)
Greg Mancz (C)
Mike Tyson (S)
DeAndre Carter (WR)
Trevor Daniel (P)
Justin Reid (S)
Kendall Lamm (T)
Kareem Jackson (CB)
Sammie Coates Jr. (WR)
Injuries
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte Thompson (WR) | Out Sun | Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Thompson will not take the field against the Dolphins on Sunday due to a toe injury. |
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| Patrick DiMarco (FB) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
DiMarco is battling an ankle injury but is expected to be available Sunday against the Patriots. |
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| Corey Thompson (LB) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
Thompson is hampered by an ankle injury but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's tilt against the Patriots. |
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| Stephen Hauschka (K) | Prob Sun | Back - 10 / 12 / 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
|
Hauschka missed the last game with a lower-back injury but it is anticipated that he will participate in Sunday's contest against the Patriots. |
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| Ryan Lewis (CB) | Out Sun | Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
|
Lewis has missed the last two games battling a concussion and will not be able to pass the league-mandated protocol in time for Sunday's game against the Dolphins. |
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| Isaiah McKenzie (WR) | Ques Sun | Toe - 06 / 12 / 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
|
McKenzie is hampered by a toe injury and it is unclear if he will take the field Sunday versus the Jets. |
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| Jason Croom (TE) | Prob Sun | Groin - 05 / 12 / 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
|
Croom missed the last game with a groin injury but is likely to play against the Lions on Sunday. |
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| Lafayette Pitts (CB) | Ques Sun | Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Pitts left the last game due to a concussion and his status for Sunday's contest against the Dolphins is up in the air. |
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| Russell Bodine (C) | Ques Sun | Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Bodine is battling a shoulder injury and it is undetermined if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars. |
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| Shaq Lawson (DE) | Ques Sun | Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Lawson has an elbow injury and it is unknown if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars. |
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| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Howell Jr. (RB) | Ques Sat | Hamstring - 01 / 01 / 19 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Howell Jr. is dealing with an injured hamstring and it is unclear if he will be available for the AFC wild-card round against the Colts. |
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| Brandon Dunn (NT) | Prob Sat | Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 2-1 | + - |
|
Dunn has missed the past two games with an ankle injury but it is anticipated that he will be a participant in the AFC wild-card round against the Colts. |
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| Greg Mancz (C) | Ques Sun | Knee - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 2-1 | + - |
|
Mancz is hobbled by a knee injury and it has yet to be established if it will hinder his availability against the Eagles on Sunday. |
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| Mike Tyson (S) | Ques Sun | Concussion - 19 / 12 / 18 | 1-1 | 2-1 | + - |
|
Tyson is going through the league-mandated concussion protocol and it is unknown if he will be cleared for Sunday's game against the Jaguars. |
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| DeAndre Carter (WR) | Prob Sat | Concussion - 09 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-3 | + - |
|
Carter left the last game with a concussion but is expected to be cleared in time for Saturday's contest against the Jets. |
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| Trevor Daniel (P) | Ques Sun | Hip - 05 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-3 | + - |
|
Danile is tending to a right hip injury and it is unclear if he will play Sunday against the Colts. |
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| Justin Reid (S) | Prob Sun | Shoulder - 05 / 12 / 18 | 2-2 | 2-3 | + - |
|
Joseph is bothered by injuries to his shoulder and wrist but it is not expected to impede his status for Sunday's game against the Colts. |
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| Kendall Lamm (T) | Prob Sun | Concussion - 02 / 12 / 18 | 3-2 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Lamm was lifted from the last game with concussion but is likely to be cleared in time for Sunday's matchup against the Colts. |
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| Kareem Jackson (CB) | Ques Sun | Groin - 28 / 11 / 18 | 3-2 | 3-3 | + - |
|
Jackson is dealing with a groin injury and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Browns on Sunday. |
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| Sammie Coates Jr. (WR) | Prob Mon | Illness - 24 / 11 / 18 | 3-3 | 4-3 | + - |
|
Coates Jr. is dealing with an illness but is likely to play Monday against the Titans. |
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Bills vs. Texans Prediction
-
BUFFALO BILLS
16 -
HOUSTON TEXANS
24
Score
Prediction
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 10 Oct 8:19pm BUF -9.5 -110 O +41 -110 Closing 14 Oct 1:48pm BUF -10 -105 O +40 -110 -
Weather
temp 87 condition cloudy wind South 9mph -
Injuries
Deonte Thompson (WR)
Out Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18Patrick DiMarco (FB)
Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18Corey Thompson (LB)
Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18Stephen Hauschka (K)
Prob Sun Back - 10 / 12 / 18Ryan Lewis (CB)
Out Sun Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18Isaiah McKenzie (WR)
Ques Sun Toe - 06 / 12 / 18Jason Croom (TE)
Prob Sun Groin - 05 / 12 / 18Lafayette Pitts (CB)
Ques Sun Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18Russell Bodine (C)
Ques Sun Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18Shaq Lawson (DE)
Ques Sun Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18Gregory Howell Jr. (RB)
Ques Sat Hamstring - 01 / 01 / 19Brandon Dunn (NT)
Prob Sat Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18Greg Mancz (C)
Ques Sun Knee - 19 / 12 / 18Mike Tyson (S)
Ques Sun Concussion - 19 / 12 / 18DeAndre Carter (WR)
Prob Sat Concussion - 09 / 12 / 18Trevor Daniel (P)
Ques Sun Hip - 05 / 12 / 18Justin Reid (S)
Prob Sun Shoulder - 05 / 12 / 18Kendall Lamm (T)
Prob Sun Concussion - 02 / 12 / 18Kareem Jackson (CB)
Ques Sun Groin - 28 / 11 / 18Sammie Coates Jr. (WR)
Prob Mon Illness - 24 / 11 / 18Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Deonte Thompson (WR) Out Sun Toe - 28 / 12 / 18 1-0 0-1 + - Thompson will not take the field against the Dolphins on Sunday due to a toe injury.
Patrick DiMarco (FB) Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 0-2 + - DiMarco is battling an ankle injury but is expected to be available Sunday against the Patriots.
Corey Thompson (LB) Prob Sun Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 0-2 + - Thompson is hampered by an ankle injury but it is not expected to affect his status for Sunday's tilt against the Patriots.
Stephen Hauschka (K) Prob Sun Back - 10 / 12 / 18 1-2 1-2 + - Hauschka missed the last game with a lower-back injury but it is anticipated that he will participate in Sunday's contest against the Patriots.
Ryan Lewis (CB) Out Sun Concussion - 10 / 12 / 18 1-2 1-2 + - Lewis has missed the last two games battling a concussion and will not be able to pass the league-mandated protocol in time for Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
Isaiah McKenzie (WR) Ques Sun Toe - 06 / 12 / 18 1-3 1-3 + - McKenzie is hampered by a toe injury and it is unclear if he will take the field Sunday versus the Jets.
Jason Croom (TE) Prob Sun Groin - 05 / 12 / 18 1-3 1-3 + - Croom missed the last game with a groin injury but is likely to play against the Lions on Sunday.
Lafayette Pitts (CB) Ques Sun Concussion - 25 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Pitts left the last game due to a concussion and his status for Sunday's contest against the Dolphins is up in the air.
Russell Bodine (C) Ques Sun Shoulder - 21 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Bodine is battling a shoulder injury and it is undetermined if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars.
Shaq Lawson (DE) Ques Sun Elbow - 21 / 11 / 18 3-3 3-3 + - Lawson has an elbow injury and it is unknown if he will play Sunday against the Jaguars.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Gregory Howell Jr. (RB) Ques Sat Hamstring - 01 / 01 / 19 1-0 0-1 + - Howell Jr. is dealing with an injured hamstring and it is unclear if he will be available for the AFC wild-card round against the Colts.
Brandon Dunn (NT) Prob Sat Ankle - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 2-1 + - Dunn has missed the past two games with an ankle injury but it is anticipated that he will be a participant in the AFC wild-card round against the Colts.
Greg Mancz (C) Ques Sun Knee - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 2-1 + - Mancz is hobbled by a knee injury and it has yet to be established if it will hinder his availability against the Eagles on Sunday.
Mike Tyson (S) Ques Sun Concussion - 19 / 12 / 18 1-1 2-1 + - Tyson is going through the league-mandated concussion protocol and it is unknown if he will be cleared for Sunday's game against the Jaguars.
DeAndre Carter (WR) Prob Sat Concussion - 09 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-3 + - Carter left the last game with a concussion but is expected to be cleared in time for Saturday's contest against the Jets.
Trevor Daniel (P) Ques Sun Hip - 05 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-3 + - Danile is tending to a right hip injury and it is unclear if he will play Sunday against the Colts.
Justin Reid (S) Prob Sun Shoulder - 05 / 12 / 18 2-2 2-3 + - Joseph is bothered by injuries to his shoulder and wrist but it is not expected to impede his status for Sunday's game against the Colts.
Kendall Lamm (T) Prob Sun Concussion - 02 / 12 / 18 3-2 3-3 + - Lamm was lifted from the last game with concussion but is likely to be cleared in time for Sunday's matchup against the Colts.
Kareem Jackson (CB) Ques Sun Groin - 28 / 11 / 18 3-2 3-3 + - Jackson is dealing with a groin injury and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Browns on Sunday.
Sammie Coates Jr. (WR) Prob Mon Illness - 24 / 11 / 18 3-3 4-3 + - Coates Jr. is dealing with an illness but is likely to play Monday against the Titans.