Can MVP candidate Derrick Henry carry the ball against a team averaging 66.2 rushing yards per game? Henry is coming off a 212 yard effort last weekend.
This is definitely the game of the week here in week seven. Three teams are undefeated through six weeks, and two of them will meet this weekend in Music City. The Titans have scored 31 or more points in four straight outings, including 42 in each of their past two games. They’ll face the number two defence in the league. Can MVP candidate Derrick Henry carry the ball against a team (Steelers) averaging 66.2 rushing yards per game? Henry is coming off a 212 yard effort last weekend and now leads the NFL in rushing with 588 yards in five games.
I don’t want to call the Steelers a “Paper Tiger” but consider this when looking at their 5-0 record. The Steelers have wins against the Giants, Broncos, Texans and Eagles. Those four teams have a combined record of 5-17-1, and I can assure you that three of those four teams will miss the post season.
The one thing that scares me about selecting the Titans is their defence. Currently it ranks 28th in the league (total defence) including 28th against the pass. Steelers Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger seems rejuvenated under center and with Canadian Chase Claypool, JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Connor in the mix, he has plenty of weapons to make this a massive shootout. To add to that, these two teams are second and fourth respectively in points scored in the NFL this season.
NFL Week 7 Betting Two-Minute Drill
The home team in this head to head series is 4-1 against the spread in the last five games. The Titans offence boasts the league’s top running back (Derrick Henry) and young star receiver AJ Brown. But adding to it has been the play of Tight End Jonnu Smith. Smith is having a breakout type campaign and has been a favourite target of Ryan Tannehill, especially in the red zone hauling in five touchdowns this season which has him tied for third in the NFL. The over is a remarkable 6-1 in the last seven games played between these two teams in Tennessee. These two teams are 7-3 to the over in 10 games combined this season.
Bastl’s Bet: Titans +2, Over 52
Under normal conditions (pre-Covid-19) this would be an interesting trip for Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski. Those two in Las Vegas? Man, the stories. But back to the game. The Bucs are coming off arguably their best game of the season topping the previously undefeated Packers. Meanwhile, the Raiders are coming off a bye week and have played respectably, last winning in Kansas City.
The Rams are happy to be back at home, but probably not as excited to know that they face the 5-1 Bears. The Bears have won back to back games and have allowed 19 or fewer points in four of their six games. This will be a tight game and 5.5 points is a little too much.
Bastl’s Bet: Raiders +3, Bears +5.5