Betting with Bastl: Could the Bengals Burrow the Titans?

David Bastl | Updated Oct 29, 2020

Joe Burrow, Bengals, 2020

Joe Burrow has thrown for 300 yards or more in five of his last six games. He is currently third overall in yardage for a Quarterback with 2023 yards.

After a fantastic 5-0 start to the season, the Titans were edged by the Steelers last weekend thanks to a near-miss field goal by Stephen Gostkowski with seconds left in the contest to tie up the game.

This week they are on the road in a game most people think should be a win for the powerful Titans. However, this could be a letdown spot for Tennessee. The team just finished three games in 13 days and could be feeling some physical fatigue. Time will tell with this week’s road trip to Cincinnati.

The Joe Burrow led Bengals offence has averaged 30.5 points per game against in losses versus the Colts and Browns. The Titans have averaged 25.5 points per game this season, which is near the bottom of the NFL. Burrow has thrown for 300 yards or more in five of his last six games. He is currently third overall in yardage for a Quarterback with 2023 yards. He should have a hay day against a Titans pass defence that is ranked 26th in the league allowing an average of 272 yards per game.

Stopping MVP candidate Derrick Henry will be a problem for the Bengals rush defence that has averaged over 133 yards against per game this season. But isn’t it a problem for every team?

Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, Nov 1 2020 1:00pm)

Pointspread
  • Tennessee Titans -120 -7
  • Cincinnati Bengals -100 +7

NFL Week 7 Betting Two-Minute Drill:

The Bengals have won two of the last three games against the Titans. They are also 5-1 against the spread in the last six games when facing the Titans. The Bengals are 1-5-1 straight up this season, but are 5-2 ATS, which tells us that they haven’t exactly figured out the win column, but they can stick around to make things interesting against some very good teams. Big picture; the Titans are 6-19-1 in their last 26 road games versus a team with a losing record.

Bastl’s Bet: Bengals +6

Overtime Predictions:

The Packers enter this NFC North matchup on a three-game winning streak against the Vikings. In those three games, the average winning margin for the Pack was nine points. At 1-5, this season has been dreadful for the Vikes, and with a 3-8 mark against the spread in their last 11 games in Green Bay, it points to a Packers cover at home.

An instant classic! The Ravens enjoyed a much-deserved bye last week, so John Harbaugh and his coaching staff enjoyed two weeks to prepare for their division rival. That could be the difference in this game as the Steelers had their hands full in a win against the Titans in week 7. At 6-0 the Steelers are off to their best start since 1978. I like them as underdogs to cover because of the extra half point.

Bastl’s Bet: Packers -6.5, Steelers +3.5

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