The Steelers have won the last 10 games against the Bengals and come into this game as 7.5-point favourites on the NFL odds with a total of 47.5.

NFL Week 10 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Pittsburgh has dominated Cincinnati in the past with 10-straight wins, including a 27-3 Week 4 home win and a 16-10 Week 12 road win last season. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams and 5-1 in the last six games between these teams at Heinz Field.

The Bengals are 6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games overall, but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in Pittsburgh. The over is 5-0 in Cincinnati’s last five games after recording at least 350 total yards in the previous game.

The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four AFC games, while the over is 4-0 in their last four games after recording at least 250 passing yards in the previous game.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are deceptively good this year, as four of their five losses have been by five or less points. They are coming off a 31-20 home win over the Titans last week, with rookie QB Joe Burrow throwing for 249 yards and two TDs. Burrow seems to have cemented himself as the quarterback of the future in Cincinnati and has thrown 11 TDs compared to only five interceptions this season.

For Cincinnati to become a legitimate threat in the AFC North they’ll need to start turning those close losses into wins and start protecting their quarterback. Burrow has been sacked 28 times this season, with the Eagles the only team to have given up more sacks than the Bengals. Cincinnati’s rush defence also needs improvement as it gives up an average of 5.2 yards per carry (dead-last in the league) and 144.3 yards per game (29th).

Pittsburgh Steelers

As the only undefeated team in the NFL, the Steelers will have a tough road through the rest of the season, with every team likely circling Pittsburgh games on the calendar. That seemed more than evident last week when the two-win Cowboys took a lead into the fourth quarter against perfect Pittsburgh. While the Steelers eventually rallied and earned a 24-19 win it has to be concerning how they squeaked it out.

Ben Roethlisberger did what Ben Roethlisberger does and had a solid game against Dallas, throwing for 306 yards and three TDs, bringing his season total to 16 TDs and four interceptions. Big Ben, however, was placed on the COVID-19 list this week and although Mike Tomlin expects him to play on Sunday, it’s definitely not certain he will be cleared. The Steelers also boast one of the best defences in the NFL, leading the league in interceptions with 11 and quarterback hits with 83.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Bengals vs. Steelers?