Bengals vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 16 Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 17, 2019

miami dolphins win

This will be the first time the Miami Dolphins have been favored this season and they are 3-4 outright in their last seven games overall.

Cincinnati
2-14
AT
December 22, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
5-11
Pointspread -2 -110
Moneyline -135
Over / Under o +45.5

28%

Betting Action

72%

Pointspread +2 -110
Moneyline +112
Over / Under u +45.5

28%

Betting Action

72%

At one point in the season, it was assumed that the Miami Dolphins were tanking. However, they’ve proven to be quite competitive over the second half of the season and it’s in fact the Cincinnati Bengals who have proven to have the league’s worst record. When both teams were winless earlier in the season, it was assumed that this would be a showdown for the top pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Now that the Bengals have just one win and are two games clear of everyone else for that top prize, this becomes a “meaningless” game for both sides.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bengals are 5-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season but are 2-0 in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. They’ve covered six straight in that spot. They’re also 4-2 ATS in their last six on the road.

As for the Dolphins, this will be the first time they’ve been favored this season. They are 4-2 ATS in their last six as a favorite. They are 5-3 when playing against a team with a losing record. They’re also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 in this series.

Cincinnati Bengals

There’s no question that the Bengals are a disaster. They have just one win in 14 games and barring something crazy, will finish with the worst record in the NFL. However, they’ve been more competitive of late ever since they re-inserted Andy Dalton in the starting lineup. They have just one win in those three contests but they’ve held the lead in each game. Even last week, against the New England Patriots, they were leading late in the first half until they were undone by a slew of injuries. They actually finished the day with more yards than the Patriots and won the time of possession battle, but five turnovers is what did them in.

Of course, Dalton is a far more accomplished passer than Ryan Finley and he gives the team a threat through the air. Opposing defense have been forced to respect that, which is what has led to running back Joe Mixon posting his two best games of the season in back-to-back weeks. He has rushed for at least 136 yards in each of those games. The Dolphins have the league’s second-worst run defense, coughing up 140.9 rushing yards per game, so if Mixon can get going and the Bengals can control the ball, they’ll have a good shot here.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins continue to be a pesky out each week as they’re now 3-4 in their last seven games. That’s not bad for a team that was once projected to be winless. At the same time, it’s clear that this is a very limited team and when they don’t play perfect, they tend to get blown out. They won’t have to be perfect this week, though.

What’s quietly going unnoticed is how well quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing. He’s currently 10th in the NFL in QBR and has passer ratings above 90 in three of his last five games. The running game has hit a wall, though, as Miami hasn’t had a rusher top 65 yards since Week 7. The Bengals allow the most rushing yards in the NFL at 158.0 per game, so maybe that changes this week.

Who Will Win Bengals vs. Dolphins?

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