Bengals vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 18 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Jan 05, 2022

The 10-6 Bengals have clinched a home playoff game, but will be playing their starters Sunday with seeding still to be determined.

Cincinnati
10-7
AT
January 09, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
8-9
Pointspread +6.5 -106
Moneyline +215
Over / Under o +38

61%

Betting Action

39%

Pointspread -6.5 -114
Moneyline -259
Over / Under u +38

61%

Betting Action

39%

The 7-9 Cleveland Browns are eliminated and without starting quarterback Baker Mayfield in their season finale against the AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals. The 2018 first-overall pick is getting shoulder surgery after a disappointing season in which he battled through the injury, and it’s made veteran Case Keenum is Cleveland’s starter this week. The 10-6 Bengals have clinched a home playoff game, but will be playing their starters Sunday with seeding still to be determined. Cincinnati can finish as high as second in the AFC, or as low as fourth.

Kickoff at FirstEnergy Stadium is set for 1 p.m. EST. Cincinnati’s a three-point favourite on the road with the total listed at 41 on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Week 9 versus the Browns is the Bengals’ only divisional loss this season — a 41-16 loss too. Cincinnati turned the ball over three times, one going back 99 yards for a Denzel Ward pick-six. Browns running back Nick Chubb added 137 yards on the ground, his second highest total of 2021 and a game where his 9.8 yards per carry stands a season high.

Despite the blowout loss, the Bengals are 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 versus Cleveland. The Browns have also covered in and won just one of their last five games — and again, Sunday’s meaningless for Cleveland.

Cincinnati Bengals

A pair of 400-yard, four-touchdown wins served asa  statement for Joe Burrow and the Bengals and started chatter about the sophomore quarterback entering the MVP conversation. Burrow’s now fifth in the NFL with 4,611 passing yards and has a dynamic chemistry with rookie Ja’Marr Chase. The 2021 fifth-overall pick racked up 266 receiving yards and three touchdowns in last Sunday’s win over Kansas City and broke the record for most receiving yards by a rookie. Chase has 1,429 yards and 13 scores, both rank in the top four among NFL receivers.

If there’s an area where the Bengals are vulnerable — it’s their passing defence. Cincinnati’s averaging 253.2 against per game, which is fifth-worst in the NFL.

Cleveland Browns

Since beating the Bengals on November 7, Cleveland is 2-5 and averaging under 15 points per game. Mayfield’s injured shoulder had an impact on the overall success of the team’s offence, but the fact he threw 38 times at Pittsburgh last Sunday while Chubb only received 12 touches is a bigger problem.

Chubb’s 1,201 rushing yards is third in the NFL and his 5.5-yard average is tied for the best among the league’s top 15 rushers. Yet, only four teams have run the baller fewer times than Cleveland the last three weeks. Mayfield’s no longer a factor, but even if the Browns now to turn Chubb offence it’s too little too late.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Bengals vs. Browns?

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