Bengals vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 3 Odds, Prediction

David Bastl | Updated Aug 23, 2018

With A.J. McCarron on the shelf, the Buffalo Bills will give first round pick Josh Allen the start on Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Cincinnati
6-10
AT
August 26, 2018, 4:10 PM ET
New Era Field
Buffalo
6-10
Pointspread +1.5 -105
Moneyline +115
Over / Under o +41
Pointspread -1.5 -115
Moneyline -135
Over / Under u +41

Traditionally, the third week of the pre-season is the final exhibition game that the starters will play in prior to the start of the regular season. That seems to be the indication we are seeing out of the depth charts from both the Bengals and Bills this week. Oddsmakers have the Bills listed as 1.5 point-favourites on the NFL odds board.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These two teams played last season in Cincinnati, with the Bengals edging the Bills 20-16. The underdog in this series is 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in the last eight games head-to-head. Both of these teams have played well against the conference, with the Bengals sporting a record of 5-0 ATS in the last five games, and the Bills 4-1 ATS over that same time. You might want to look at the over in this game, as the two teams are 7-2 to the over in their last nine meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are 2-0 (2-0 ATS) this pre-season with wins against the Bears and Cowboys. With quarterback Andy Dalton firmly in place at the starting position, there is a good battle brewing between backups Jeff Driskell and Matt Barkley. Dalton will likely get 2-3 sets of downs in this game before giving way for the pair to play the remainder of the game. Linebackers Vincent Rey and Vontaze Burfict will likely be sidelined with minor injuries, opening the door for four undrafted rookies to make a name for themselves in this game. The Bengals released veteran safety George IIoka, making room for rookie Jessie Bates III who will play this Sunday against the Bills.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills received some bad news last week when starting quarterback AJ McCarron suffered a hairline fracture to his collarbone. He’ll be out of action this week, but will likely be ready for the start of the regular season. In his place, first round pick Josh Allen will make his first professional start. The 6-foot-5 product from Wyoming saw action in both previous exhibition games and did quite well, throwing for a combined 18-of-32 for 176 yards and two touchdowns. It should be interesting to see how he does against the Bengals first team defence likely playing at least two quarters of this game.

The remainder of the game will fall on the shoulders of Nathan Peterman. Peterman was a flop last season in limited play. So far this pre-season he has been the best of the three quarterbacks, going 17-for-20 for 231 yards and a pair of touchdowns. If, for some reason McCarron cannot start Week 1, he is likely to get the call. Also out of action will be running back LeSean McCoy. The veteran is nursing a sore groin injury, and the Bills won’t risk damaging it any further. If should be noted that Canadian punter Jon Ryan was signed as a free agent this week by the Bills after getting released from the Seahawks. He will make his Buffalo debut this weekend, in competition with Colton Schmidt for the starting job.

Bengals vs. Bills Prediction

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