SNF Bears vs. Packers Point Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Nov 26, 2020

Packers vs. Bears

A classic rivalry renewed on Sunday Night Football. The Packers are heavy favourites hosting the Bears from Lambeau Field.

Chicago
8-8
AT
November 29, 2020, 8:20 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
13-3
Pointspread +8 -110
Moneyline +307
Over / Under o +45

29%

Betting Action

71%

Pointspread -8 -110
Moneyline -376
Over / Under u +45

29%

Betting Action

71%

The big question surrounding Week 12’s Sunday night match between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers is who will be under centre for the Bears. Chicago’s dropped four games in a row in large part to their 31st ranked offence, and head coach Matt Nagy has yet to name a starting quarterback for Week 12 as Nick Foles and Mitchell Trubisky recover from injuries.

Regardless of who’s under centre, going into Lambeau Field and defeating the 7-3 Packers will be a tall task. Especially after Green Bay’s tough loss last week as they attempt to bounce back.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have had Chicago’s number recently. Green Bay’s won eight of their last 10 against the Bears, and have covered in 14 of their last 19 meetings. Considering this history and Chicago’s situation on offence, oddsmakers have the Packers listed at -8.5.

It’s these NFC North teams’ first battle this season, and something’s got to give. Green Bay’s the third-highest scoring team at 30.8 points per game, Chicago second-worst at 19.1. On defence, Chicago’s the sixth-best unit in points against at 20.9 per game, Green Bay 17th at 25.8.

Past indications reveal defence prevails — there has been an average of 40 total points per game between these teams’ past 10 contests.

Chicago Bears

After 10 games, it’s easy to see why the Bears are unsure who will be their pivot moving forward. Trubisky started the season 3-0 before being benched in favour of Foles, who went 2-5 as a starter. Foles was averaging just under 60 more passing yards per game than Trubisky, but the former also carries an 81 per cent quarterback rating compared to Trubisky’s 87.4. Again, it’s unclear whether both are even healthy enough to play.

As usual, Chicago will have their top-tier defence to slow down Green Bay. The Bears’ defence is in the top 10 in yards per play, yards per game, yards per pass attempt, red zone percentage, third down conversion rate, and so on.

Leading rusher David Montgomery is also re-entering the Bears’ lineup.

Green Bay Packers

Sitting at 7-3 and comfortably in first in the division, Green Bay still has much to prove. The Packers are 1-2 against teams with a non-losing record, and the Bears are still .500.

Rodgers is playing at an MVP level with 29 touchdowns, four interceptions, and nearly 3,000 yards through 10 games but time and time again it’s the defence letting this club down. If Green Bay falters against Chicago’s offence, some serious problems exist.

Even if Chicago’s scoring, Green Bay can punch right back. Devante Adams are Aaron Jones have been fantastic in the green and gold this year, Adams averaging 105 receiving yards per game and Jones having a 4.7 yards per carry average — the two combining for 18 scores.

Who Will Win Bears vs. Packers?

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