Bears vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Nov 17, 2022

The Atlanta Falcons will look to stay in contention in the NFC South when they host a struggling Chicago Bears team on Sunday.

November 20, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Pointspread +2 -115
Moneyline +109
Over / Under o +48.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -2 -105
Moneyline -131
Over / Under u +48.5


Betting Action


A losing streak is ending when the Chicago Bears head down to Atlanta for a clash with the Falcons Sunday. Chicago’s now 3-7 after losing their third straight, but things are trending upwards with Justin Fields under centre. In fact, the Bears are the first team in NFL history to score 29-plus points in three consecutive games and lose all three. Atlanta’s dropped two straight games, but are still a solid spot to battle for first in the NFC South as their 4-6 record is a game out of first place in the division

Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium gets going at 1 p.m. EST, with Atlanta a 3-point favourite on home field and the total at 49.0 on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bears have been extremely successful with covering the spread against the Falcons in years past, covering in 10 of their last 12 against Atlanta. The under is also 7-1 in Chicago’s last eight visits to Atlanta and nine of these teams’ last 11 meetings overall. Atlanta is averaging just 15.6 points games in their last 10 meetings with Chicago.

The Bears this season are 1-4 on the road, while Atlanta’s above .500 on home field at 3-2, and 3-2 ATS too. Much was made of the Falcons starting 6-0 ATS this season, but after last week they have now lost four consecutive times ATS.

Chicago Bears

Fields exploded for another 147 rushing yards in last week’s 31-30 loss versus Detroit, adding another 167 yards through the air too to go with four total touchdowns. Fields now has 385 rushing yards in just his last three games, and 11 total touchdowns as Chicago’s offence has seemingly found its rhythm. That groove is revolved around pounding the football, as Chicago ran it 35 times for 258 yards last weekend. Chicago leads the NFL with 36 rushes per game.

On the down side, the Bears haven’t figured out the other side of the ball. Chicago allowed 31 points for the third straight week and are 25th with 24.7 points allowed, and also giving up nearly 400 yards per game over their past three outings.

Atlanta Falcons

Marcus Mariota and the Falcons put forth an ugly offensive performance in last week’s 25-15 loss at Carolina, but it’s still Mariota’s job with 2022 third-round pick Desmond Ridder waiting on the sidelines. Aside from an eight-play, 97-yard drive out of nowhere in the final quarter, Mariota and the offence just didn’t seem to be on the same page. Five different ball-carriers ran the ball 25 times for 138 yards, but again it didn’t translate to many points — and zero rushing scores.

Outside of a remarkable 34-31 overtime win three weeks ago, Atlanta has failed to score over 17 points in their last month of action. Mariota hasn’t reached 190 yards passing in any of those three games too.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Bears vs. Falcons?