2022 Gator Bowl: Notre Dame (21) vs. South Carolina (19) Odds, Prediction

Edgar Chaput | Updated Dec 28, 2022

The long-standing Gator Bowl tradition continues from Jacksonville, Florida when the South Carolina Gamecocks take to the gridiron to duel with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

December 30, 2022, 3:30 PM ET
TIAA Bank Field
Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -203
Over / Under o +50.5


Betting Action


Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +169
Over / Under u +50.5


Betting Action


It’s a battle of 8-4 squads under the Floridian sun. The Gamecocks are ranked 19th in the country and third in the SEC conference. The Fighting Irish march to the beat of their own drum as one of the independent schools.

Notre Dame sits as 2.5-point favourites to win on the NCAAF odds, and the over-under is valued at 51.5 points.

Gator Bowl Betting Analysis

The Fighting Irish have struggled in past bowl contests. When considering their last 10 participations, the school has only walked away winners four times. Some of those losses were ugly, such as the 2016 Fiesta Bowl when the Ohio State Buckeyes made them walk the plank 44-28. As recently as 2021, Notre Dame partook in a coveted College Playoff semifinal against the Alabama Crimson Tide but kneeled before the opposition 31-14.

Up until recently, South Carolina had a stellar reputation in bowl games. When accounting for their last eight invitations, the program has earned itself an admirable 6-2 record. They won four straight from 2012 through 2014, then suffered back-to-back defeats in 2016 and 2018. Since then, they captured both the 2018 Outback Bowl and the 2021 Duke Mayo’s Bowl.

To go along with their decent if unspectacular 8-4 seasons, neither the Gamecocks nor the Fighting Irish have blown anyone away when spreads are considered. Notre Dame only went 6-6 ATS this season whereas South Caroline mustered a 7-5 tally.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (21)

The independent school has gotten by with a balanced attack and a relatively stout defence. They finished first in the FBS independent school conference against the run, allowing only 136.5 yards per game and less than 200 yards through the air per contest (190.6). The biggest factor is that the defence bends but rarely breaks. The yards and first downs they coughed up allowed led the opposition to average only 21.8 points against the Fighting Irish.

It’s a good thing Notre Dame has a solid ground game, tallying 182.8 yards per contest because they aren’t the most efficient attack when throwing the ball (199.9 yards). Running back Audric Estime has earned himself a nice season, with 825 total yards, 11 TDs, and a handsome 5.8 yards per tote. Tight end Michael Mayer has been quarterback Drew Pyne’s most proficient recipient of passes, catching 67 for 809 yards and 9 TDs, far better than anyone else on the roster.

South Carolina Gamecocks (19)

The Gamecocks have made it to the Gator Bowl off a solid if unmemorable 8-4 campaign. When looking at the major offensive statistical categories nationwide, they very much are middle-of-the-pack. Within the SEC their ranking varies dramatically. They’re in the middle as far as passing attack (257.8 yards per game) but near the bottom when rushing (123.3 per game, which isn’t terrible, but the conference runs the ball tremendously well). The point of weakness however is defending the run. The Gamecocks give up an appalling 192.4 yards on the ground per game.

Running back MarShawn Lloyd is their best back, averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season, albeit on only 111 touches for a total of 573 yards. The team has no 1,000-yard receiver. Its leader in that category is Antwane Wells Jr, who hauled in 63 receptions for 898 yards and 6 TDs. Quarterback Spencer Rattler put up decent numbers, but nothing to write home about. A good completion percentage (66.6 per cent) but he threw 11 INTs against his 16 TDs.

Gator Bowl Prediction: Who Will Win Notre Dame vs. South Carolina?