Dollar General Bowl Spread: Bulls vs. Trojans Odds, Prediction

Charlie Grant | Updated Dec 18, 2018

tyree jackson

Quarterback Tyree Jackson is Buffalo’s key player to watch. The junior was the MAC’s offensive player of the year and after he threw for 27 touchdowns and ran for another seven.

Buffalo
10-3
AT
December 22, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
Ladd-Peebles Stadium
Troy
9-3
Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -145
Over / Under o +51.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +125
Over / Under u +51.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

The Buffalo Bulls have never won a bowl game in the football program’s history. The Troy Trojans are seeking their fourth straight postseason win when they play Buffalo in Mobile in the 2018 Dollar General Bowl. Despite the history of the two teams, oddsmakers see this game as matchup close to a coin flip.

Betting Analysis

The Bulls ended the 2017 campaign on a three-game win streak and carried the momentum into 2018. Buffalo won nine of its first 10 games this season and finished the year a solid 9-4 against the spread.

Buffalo total bettors were treated to a 9-4 Over mark – including 8-2 run in the middle of the season. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their five neutral site games and they’re 0-2 straight up in their only two previous bowl game appearances.

The Trojans have a long history of knocking off schools from Power 5 conferences in early non-conference tilts. This season was no different. Troy edged Nebraska 24-19 as a 13-point road underdog in mid September.

The team finished second to Appalachian State in the Sun Belt but still won nine of its 12 games and went 8-3-1 against the spread.

Sports Interaction opened the spread for this game with the Bulls giving three points. The number has dropped to Troy +2 as the game date edges closer. The real movement has been on the total. They opened with an Over/Under of 53.5, and it’s dropped all the way to 49 – or, in other words, a 4.5-point move.

Buffalo Bulls

It’s no small feat for a program like Buffalo to win 10 of 13 in the regular season. It’s the Bulls’ most successful campaign since they joined Division I-A in 1999.

Quarterback Tyree Jackson is Buffalo’s key player to watch. The junior was the MAC’s offensive player of the year and after he threw for 27 touchdowns and ran for another seven. Only 11 other players in the country accounted for more TDs for their team this past season.

Buffalo scored 44 or more points in three of its last five games and Over went 4-1 during that tail end of the campaign.

Troy Trojans

The Trojans own one of the best defences in the country. Their stopper unit finished 26th in fewest points allowed (22.5 points per game) and 28th in total yards allowed.

Troy got to nine wins without great quarterback play. The team’s main offensive threat comes in the backfield. Tailback B.J. Smith ran for 1090 yards and collected 12 touchdowns on 198 carries this season.

Bulls vs. Trojans Prediction

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