Line History
| time | fav | line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening 12 Oct 8:14pm | MSST | O +52.5 -110 | |
| Closing 18 Oct 11:24pm | MSST | O +42.5 -102 |
Team Leaders
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Jadan BaughRunning Back Mississippi State |
10 | Touchdowns | 9 |
Davon BoothRunning Back Florida![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Jadan BaughRunning Back Mississippi State |
1170 | Rushing | 639 |
Fluff BothwellRunning Back Florida![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Blake ShapenQuarterback Florida |
2433 | Passing | 2264 |
DJ LagwayQuarterback Mississippi State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Anthony Evans IIIWide Receiver Florida |
63 | Receiving | 40 |
Vernell Brown IIIWide Receiver Mississippi State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Jayden WoodsDefensive End Mississippi State |
3.5 | Sacks | 2.5 |
Nic MitchellLinebacker Florida![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Brylan LanierSafety Florida |
3 | Interceptions | 2 |
Jordan CastellDefensive Back Mississippi State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Sanfrisco MageeWide Receiver Florida |
1 | Touchdowns | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Kamario TaylorQuarterback Florida |
63 | Rushing | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Kamario TaylorQuarterback Florida |
241 | Passing | Did not qualify | |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Anthony Evans IIIWide Receiver Florida |
4 | Receiving | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() Malick SyllaLinebacker Florida |
1 | Sacks | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Brylan LanierSafety Florida |
1 | Interceptions |
Recent Meetings
| date | home-away | ats | o/u | FLA:Total Net Yards | FLA:Net Rushing Yards | FLA:Passing Yards | MSST:Total Net Yards | MSST:Net Rushing Yards | MSST:Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/18/2025 | FLA 23 - MSST 21 | MSST +10 | Under 50.5 | 452 | 172 | 280 | 468 | 144 | 324 |
| 09/21/2024 | MSST 28 - FLA 45 | FLA -7 | Over 57.5 | 503 | 226 | 277 | 480 | 240 | 240 |
| 09/29/2018 | MSST 6 - FLA 13 | FLA +7 | Under 49.5 | 357 | 118 | 239 | 202 | 104 | 98 |
| date | score | ats | o/u | Total Net Yards | Net Rushing Yards | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | MSST 29 - WAKE 43 | L -3 | Over 52.5 | 451 | 148 | 303 |
| 11/28/2025 | MSST 19 - MISS 38 | L +7.5 | Under 63.5 | 545 | 186 | 359 |
| 11/15/2025 | MIZZ 49 - MSST 27 | L +7 | Over 50.5 | 345 | 110 | 235 |
| 11/08/2025 | MSST 21 - UGA 41 | L +7.5 | Over 56.5 | 567 | 303 | 264 |
| 11/01/2025 | ARK 35 - MSST 38 | W +4.5 | Over 66.5 | 388 | 106 | 282 |
| 10/25/2025 | MSST 38 - TEX 45 | L +6.5 | Over 45.5 | 428 | 72 | 356 |
| 10/18/2025 | FLA 23 - MSST 21 | W +10 | Under 50.5 | 468 | 144 | 324 |
| 10/04/2025 | TAM 31 - MSST 9 | L +17.5 | Under 58.5 | 219 | 77 | 142 |
| 09/27/2025 | MSST 34 - TENN 41 | L +8.5 | Over 63.5 | 471 | 136 | 335 |
| 09/20/2025 | MSST 38 - NIU 10 | W -22.5 | Under 48.5 | 267 | 125 | 142 |
| date | score | ats | o/u | Total Net Yards | Net Rushing Yards | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29/2025 | FLA 40 - FSU 21 | W -2.5 | Over 50.5 | 440 | 272 | 168 |
| 11/22/2025 | FLA 11 - TENN 31 | L +3.5 | Under 56.5 | 261 | 145 | 116 |
| 11/15/2025 | MISS 34 - FLA 24 | W +11.5 | Over 53.5 | 538 | 237 | 301 |
| 11/08/2025 | UK 38 - FLA 7 | L -3.5 | Over 44.5 | 401 | 233 | 168 |
| 11/01/2025 | FLA 20 - UGA 24 | W +7 | Under 50.5 | 281 | 115 | 166 |
| 10/18/2025 | FLA 23 - MSST 21 | L -10 | Under 50.5 | 452 | 172 | 280 |
| 10/11/2025 | TAM 34 - FLA 17 | L +7 | Over 47.5 | 417 | 183 | 234 |
| 10/04/2025 | FLA 29 - TEX 21 | W +6.5 | Over 42.5 | 457 | 159 | 298 |
| 09/20/2025 | MIA 26 - FLA 7 | L +9.5 | Under 51.5 | 344 | 184 | 160 |
| 09/13/2025 | LSU 20 - FLA 10 | L +4.5 | Under 54.5 | 322 | 102 | 220 |
Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats
| avg | rank | edge in | rank | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.5 | 51 | Points Per Game | 118 | 21.58 |
| 29.17 | 107 | Points Allowed Per Game | 62 | 24 |
| 9.17 | 12 | 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game | 37 | 6.75 |
| 4.75 | 39 | 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 44 | 5.17 |
| 5.08 | 94 | 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game | 79 | 6.67 |
| 8 | 59 | 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 69 | 8.67 |
| 7.5 | 32 | 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game | 73 | 4.5 |
| 5.25 | 48 | 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 19 | 3.33 |
| 8.75 | 27 | 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game | 97 | 3.67 |
| 10 | 97 | 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 59 | 6.83 |
| 89.1 | 23 | Red Zone Efficiency | 12 | 91.7 |
| 398.42 | 58 | Total Yards Per Game | 103 | 341.33 |
| 13.21 | 56 | Total Yards Per Play | 104 | 10.95 |
| 3.83 | 81 | Rushing Yards Per Play | 59 | 4.27 |
| 30.17 | 56 | Passing Attempts Per Game | 47 | 31.17 |
| 12.52 | 42 | Passing Yards Per Completion | 110 | 10.49 |
| 1.58 | 20 | Passing Tds Per Game | 22 | 1.5 |
| 18.92 | 52 | Completions Per Game | 45 | 19.5 |
| 62.7 | 54 | Completion % | 55 | 62.6 |
| 140.98 | 62 | Qb Rating | 98 | 126.1 |
| 3.25 | 7 | Defense Sacks Per Game | 29 | 1.67 |
| 0.75 | 11 | Defense Interceptions Per Game | 5 | 1.17 |
| 0.5 | 11 | Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game | 15 | 0.33 |
| 7.25 | 80 | Penalties Per Game | 46 | 5.08 |
| 61.75 | 142 | Penalty Yards Per Game | 78 | 43.67 |
| 15 | 13 | Takeaway / Giveaway Differential | 16 | 18 |
| 2.55 | 75 | Yards Per Punt Return | 66 | 2.92 |
| 12.75 | 151 | Yards Per Kickoff Return | 141 | 14.93 |
Odds Analysis
Team Rankings
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Injuries
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Glover (WR) | Questionable | Undisclosed - 30 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Fluff Bothwell (RB) | Prob Sat | Leg - 15 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Brenen Thompson (WR) | Prob Sat | Undisclosed - 02 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Livingston (TE) | Prob Nov 22 | Undisclosed - 20 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Tramell Jones Jr. (QB) | Questionable | Undisclosed - 20 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Vernell Brown III (WR) | Ques Nov. 22 | Undisclosed - 14 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Taylor Spierto (WR) | Questionable | Undisclosed - 06 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Eugene Wilson III (WR) | Questionable | Undisclosed - 06 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Dallas Wilson (WR) | out for season | Lower Body - 01 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Jackson Wade (WR) | Ques Nov. 29 | Undisclosed - 30 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Vernell Brown III (WR) | Prob Sat | Undisclosed - 18 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Aidan Mizell (WR) | Ques Nov 8 | Leg - 18 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Tony Livingston (TE) | Ques Nov 8 | Undisclosed - 11 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
Mississippi State Vs Florida Betting Trends
Under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 7-0 in Bulldogs last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 12-3 in Gators last 15 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Under is 8-2 in Gators last 10 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Line Up - Last Game
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