Saint Mary’s (7) vs. Alabama (2) Bracket Prediction: March Madness Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Mar 23, 2025

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Round two brings us a classic clash of contrasting styles as the No. 7 seed Saint Mary's Gaels square off against the No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on Sunday,

Saint Mary's
27-4
AT
March 23, 2025, 6:10 PM ET
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
Alabama
24-7
Matchup Odds
Matchup Odds

Saint Mary’s, known for their methodical pace and defensive tenacity, will attempt to dictate the game’s tempo against Alabama’s high-octane offense, which leads the nation in scoring. 

Saint Mary’s vs. Alabama NCAA Tournament Point Spread and Betting

Alabama is favored by 5.5 points over Saint Mary’s, with the total set at 149.5 points. The Crimson Tide’s moneyline is -235, while the Gaels offer a +195 return for those eyeing an upset.

This game presents a fascinating contrast in philosophies: Alabama’s desire to push the pace and launch from deep versus Saint Mary’s commitment to slowing the game down and grinding out possessions. The Crimson Tide’s success hinges on their ability to speed up the Gaels and create transition opportunities. Conversely, Saint Mary’s will aim to impose their will by controlling the tempo, limiting turnovers, and forcing Alabama to operate in a half-court setting.

The battle between Mark Sears and Jordan Ross will be pivotal, as both guards are instrumental in setting the tone for their respective teams. Additionally, Alabama’s defensive focus will be tested against Saint Mary’s methodical offense, requiring discipline to avoid unnecessary fouls and defensive breakdowns.

Best Bets:

  • Alabama -5.5: Given their offensive firepower and ability to dictate pace, the Crimson Tide are likely to cover the spread. 
  • Under 149.5 total points: Saint Mary’s will strive to slow the game’s tempo, potentially keeping the total points below the set line. 

Saint Mary’s Gaels

In stark contrast, the Saint Mary’s Gaels have built their 27-6 record on defensive solidity and deliberate offensive execution. They allow a stingy 60.5 points per game, ranking among the nation’s best in defensive efficiency. Offensively, the Gaels emphasize patience and precision, often working deep into the shot clock to find high-percentage shots. Sophomore guard Jordan Ross has emerged as a key contributor, delivering a standout performance in their first-round win over Vanderbilt. Ross’s ability to control the game’s tempo and make clutch plays will be crucial against Alabama’s relentless pace.

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been an offensive juggernaut this season, boasting a 29-6 record under head coach Nate Oats. They lead the nation in scoring, averaging a blistering 91.1 points per game, propelled by their up-tempo style and prolific three-point shooting. All-American guard Mark Sears has been the catalyst, averaging 18.8 points and 6.2 assists per game, orchestrating the Tide’s high-speed offense. In their first-round victory over Robert Morris, Sears showcased his versatility with 22 points and 10 assists, underscoring his pivotal role in Alabama’s success.

March Madness Prediction: Who Will Win Saint Mary’s vs Alabama?

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