This game is scheduled for Friday, March 21, at 10:10 p.m. ET at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. Oregon, representing the Big Ten, aims to continue its strong tournament tradition under coach Dana Altman, while Liberty, the Conference USA champion, seeks to make a statement on the national stage.

Liberty vs. Oregon NCAA Tournament Point Spread and Betting

This 5 vs. 12 matchup is intriguing, as historically, No. 12 seeds have a .349 winning percentage against No. 5 seeds, making upsets relatively common. Oregon’s depth and experience under coach Dana Altman provide a solid foundation, especially given their track record of first-round success. However, their inconsistency and lack of dominance in specific statistical areas could be potential vulnerabilities.

Liberty’s efficient shooting and deliberate pace could disrupt Oregon’s rhythm. The Flames’ ability to control the tempo and capitalize on three-point opportunities will be crucial. However, their lack of size and the absence of a true big man may pose challenges in defending against Oregon’s frontcourt.

While Liberty’s shooting prowess and disciplined approach make them a formidable opponent, Oregon’s experience, depth, and coaching give them a slight edge. The Ducks’ ability to adapt and perform in tournament settings, as evidenced by their recent history, suggests they can navigate the challenges posed by Liberty. 

Oregon is currently favored by 7.5 points, with a moneyline of -325, and Liberty is at +260. The over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points. ​

10 Proven March Madness Bracket Hacks

Liberty Flames

Liberty boasts a 28-6 record, with a 13-5 tally in Conference USA. The Flames clinched the Conference USA tournament title and are known for their disciplined style of play. They excel in shooting efficiency, ranking in the top 15 nationally with a 38.5% success rate from three-point range. Notably, Liberty prefers a slower pace, focusing on deliberate offensive sets and strong defense, holding opponents to just 62.8 points per game. 

A concern for Liberty is their lack of size, especially after losing Isaiah Ihnen early in the season. Their tallest rotation player is 6-foot-8 Owen Aquino, and the team lacks a traditional big man. Offensively, Liberty relies heavily on perimeter shooting, ranking 358th in two-point attempts but 43rd in three-point attempts. Key players include Taelon Peter and Colin Porter, who are pivotal in their shooting roles. The Flames’ offensive efficiency is ranked 80th, while their defensive efficiency is 48th nationally.

Oregon Ducks

Oregon enters the tournament with a 24-9 record, including a 12-8 mark in Big Ten play. The Ducks have demonstrated resilience throughout the season, securing notable victories over top-tier teams such as Alabama, Wisconsin, and Texas A&M. However, they have also experienced unexpected home losses, reflecting some inconsistency. Under the guidance of coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a history of performing well in March, having won their last eight first-round games.

The Ducks’ offense is characterized by balance rather than reliance on a single star player. Sophomore point guard Jackson Shelstad has been efficient from beyond the arc but has not emerged as the primary scorer as anticipated. The backcourt is bolstered by experienced guards TJ Bamba and Keeshawn Barthelemy. In the frontcourt, Nathan Bittle plays a crucial role, especially in rebounding, as he is the only starter averaging more than four rebounds per game. Oregon’s offensive efficiency is ranked 39th nationally, while their defensive efficiency stands at 31st. 

March Madness Prediction: Who Will Win Liberty vs. Oregon?

While Liberty’s shooting prowess and disciplined approach make them a formidable opponent, Oregon’s experience, depth, and coaching give them a slight edge. The Ducks’ ability to adapt and perform in tournament settings, as evidenced by their recent history, suggests they can navigate the challenges posed by Liberty. 

FLAMES

Away

68

DUCKS

Home

74

Score
Predictions

Matchup