Duke boasts a high-octane offence led by standout freshman Cooper Flagg, while Houston counters with a stifling defence that’s been the backbone of their success. This matchup pits two contrasting styles against each other, with a trip to the national championship on the line.

Duke vs. Houston NCAA Tournament Point Spread and Betting

This is a pace battle more than anything. Duke wants this game in the 70s and 80s, and Houston is aiming for a 62–60 type of grind. Houston’s defense has been able to smother just about everyone, but Duke brings more offensive weapons than most teams the Cougars have faced.

Rebounding and second-chance points will be huge, especially for Houston. If Duke limits those and keeps shooting at the clip they’ve shown in March, they’ll be tough to stop.

Duke has more ways to win this game, and if Cooper Flagg stays in rhythm, it’s hard to picture Houston keeping up on the scoreboard. Still, don’t expect a blowout—Houston’s defense will keep things tight for 35 minutes. Duke just has more shot-makers, and that matters most at this stage.

Best Bets:

• Duke -5.5 (-105): The Blue Devils have the offensive tools to eventually pull away, even if it takes until late.

• Under 136.5 (-110): Houston’s defense and the stakes of the moment should keep this one in check. First team to 70 probably wins.

Duke Blue Devils

Duke’s journey to the Final Four has been marked by offensive dominance and depth. Freshman phenom Cooper Flagg has been at the forefront, averaging 19.5 points and nearly eight rebounds per game in the NCAA Tournament. His versatility allows him to impact the game on both ends of the floor. Complementing Flagg is Tyrese Proctor, a seasoned guard whose experience and poise have been invaluable in high-pressure situations. The Blue Devils rank ninth nationally in points per game and have demonstrated efficiency, ranking sixth in field goal percentage. Defensively, they’re no slouches either, standing seventh in opponent points per game, showcasing their balanced approach.

Houston Cougars

Houston’s path has been defined by tenacious defense and veteran leadership. The Cougars lead the nation in opponent points per game, a testament to their disciplined and cohesive defensive schemes. LJ Cryer, the senior guard, has been pivotal, bouncing back from a subdued Sweet 16 performance to lead with 17 points, seven rebounds, and four assists in the Elite Eight. Offensively, while not as prolific as Duke, Houston’s efficiency is notable, especially from beyond the arc, where they top the charts in three-point percentage.

Final Four Prediction: Who Will Win Duke vs. Houston?

COUGARS

Away

70

BLUE DEVILS

Home

63

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Predictions

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