With the playoffs all but a pipe dream now, the rest of the Minnesota Timberwolves’ season will be about lessons learned, and the spoiler role. The Timberwolves can fulfill the latter goal Tuesday night as they host the reeling Golden State Warriors. Minnesota has dropped three in a row but still sports an impressive 23-10 record at Target Center, and will welcome a Warriors team playing one night after dropping a 111-105 decision to the red-hot San Antonio Spurs.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Regardless of who suits up for Golden State – DeMarcus Cousins is day-to-day with an ankle injury, while Kevin Durant returned Monday from a foot injury but might be rested on the second night of a back-to-back – bettors might be off the Warriors altogether for the time being. They’re a dismal 0-6-1 ATS in their past seven games on zero days rest, and have covered just four times in their previous 16 contests overall.
Offence has been a major issue for the Warriors during their recent struggles, and that makes them a great totals option. They’ve finished below the total in five consecutive road games, and are 1-10 to the under in their past 11 games overall. But the Timberwolves are trending in the opposite direction, having gone an incredible 13-5 O/U in their last 18 games. That said, the under is 24-8 in the previous 32 head-to-head meetings between the teams.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors will need to take better care of the basketball if they hope to fend off the Denver Nuggets and claim top spot in the Western Conference. Golden State has fumbled it around this month, averaging a whopping 15.9 turnovers so far in March – the third-highest average in the league. Their -2.8 average turnover differential for the month is ahead of only the New York Knicks, and they rank 21st in assist-to-turnover ratio in March (1.76).
While Golden State looks to recapture its offensive identity in Minnesota, the Timberwolves would sorely love to figure out what’s going on at the defensive end of the floor. They allowed an average of 123.3 points in road losses to Houston, Utah and Denver, though a return home might be just what they need. Minnesota has won four consecutive games at Target Center, limiting opponents to an average of 111.7 points over that stretch.