Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated May 23, 2022

The Warriors can return to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2019 with a win in Game 4 of their Western Conference Finals series at the Mavericks on Tuesday.

Golden State
53-29
AT
May 24, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-30
Pointspread +1.5 -117
Moneyline -102
Over / Under o +215.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

Pointspread -1.5 -103
Moneyline -118
Over / Under u +215.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

The Mavs are very slight favourites on the NBA odds to avoid the sweep.

Warriors vs. Mavericks NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The last time the Golden State Warriors were in the NBA Finals was of course back when they still had Kevin Durant (although he played only 12 minutes the entire series) and lost in six games to Kawhi Leonard and the Raptors in 2019. That was the end of a mini-dynasty of sorts as it was the Warriors’ fifth straight trip to the Finals and they won three titles. They will be favoured against either the Boston Celtics or Miami Heat in the 2022 Finals whether the Dubs finish off Dallas on Tuesday in Game 4 or it takes until Game 5 back in San Francisco on Thursday.

Meanwhile, it will be an interesting offseason in Dallas because the Mavericks have one of the NBA’s best players in Luka Doncic, but they absolutely need to get him another star sidekick – not to mention re-sign guard Jalen Brunson.

With the Warriors up 3-0, they are -10000 on the series line (no NBA team has lost a series it led 3-0) and the Mavericks +1199. That Golden State finishes the sweep on Tuesday is -103 with Warriors in five at +130.

Golden State Warriors

A well-coached team in the NBA often wins the third quarter because obviously adjustments are made at halftime. The Warriors have dominated third quarters in this series, outscoring the Mavericks by nearly 11 points per. In Sunday’s 109-100 win, the Dubs outscored Dallas by nine. Toronto native Andrew Wiggins had easily the best playoff game of his career with 27 points (career playoff high), 11 rebounds (tied career playoff high) and three assists plus a team-best plus-22 rating. He also has done a fine job guarding Luka Doncic. Steph Curry added 31 points and 11 assists. The Warriors don’t have a lot of size but neither do the Mavericks, and Golden State has been dominating the boards with a massive 141-98 edge in the three games. Curry isn’t exactly known for rebounding but is pulling down 8.3 per game. Amazingly, the Dubs have won at least one road game in 26 straight playoff series dating to 2013. They are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 following an ATS win.

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavs’ three best players are Luka Doncic (40 points), Jalen Brunson (20) and Spencer Dinwiddie (26). They combined for 86 points in Game 3 — Doncic’s eight games with 40 points in the playoffs are the tied with LeBron James for the most in history prior to turning 25 years old. The rest of the team had 14 points on Sunday. Reggie Bullock had as many points as you and I did in 40 minutes: Zero on 0-for-10. Maxi Kleber, a big reason the Mavs won in the last round, also had zero in 25 minutes. Dallas has hugely struggled from deep in this series and hit 28.9 per cent on Sunday. Trying to win a three-point contest vs. the Warriors is playing right into Golden State’s hands. While no team has ever rallied from a 3-0 series deficit to win a playoff series, three teams have come back to force a Game 7 after losing the first three. We are going to give Dallas this game simply as it would be easy for the Warriors to coast a bit and then finish things off at home. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their past six at home.

Game 4 Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Mavericks?

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