Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Prediction, NBA Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated May 21, 2022

The Golden State Warriors are two wins away from the NBA Finals as they head to Dallas on Sunday leading the Mavericks 2-0 in the Western Conference Finals.

Golden State
53-29
AT
May 22, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-30
Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +128
Over / Under o +217

53%

Betting Action

47%

Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -153
Over / Under u +217

53%

Betting Action

47%

The Western Conference Finals between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks shifts to Dallas for Game 3 on Sunday. The Mavs are 2.5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, despite being down 2-0 in the series.

Warriors vs. Mavericks NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Golden State lost both meetings in Dallas during the regular season (although the Dubs weren’t whole in either), 99-82 on Jan. 5 and 123-113 on March 3. The Warriors are 2-3 on the road in these playoffs (Denver and Memphis). Dallas lost its first home game of these playoffs at home to Utah without Luka Doncic but has since won the past five there.

With the Dubs up 2-0, the Warriors are -909 on the series line and the Mavericks +487. On the series handicap, the Warriors are -313 at -1.5 games and the Mavericks +221 at +1.5. The favoured exact result is Warriors in five at +171 followed by a sweep at +319. I like Golden State in six at +404. The over-under for total games is 5.5, with the under a -139 favourite.

Golden State Warriors

The Dubs remained unbeaten at home in these playoffs with a 126-117 win in Game 2 – Dallas played much better in Game 2 and led by 12 at the half. A common occurrence under Coach Steve Kerr (and a sign of good coaching) is the Warriors dominating third quarters. They outscored Dallas 25-13 in that quarter and then hung 43 in the fourth.

Steph Curry led with 32 points, but the team MVP was Kevon Looney, who had 21 points and 12 rebounds. My recommendation? Bet over his rebound total this entire series. The Mavericks don’t have much size. Golden State is 0-4 ATS in its past four on the road.

Dallas Mavericks

Enough can’t be said about the defensive job that Toronto native Andrew Wiggins has done on Mavs star Doncic. Yep, Luka got his 42 in Game 2 but looked worn down at the end. In the previous two rounds, Luka got help. He really hasn’t yet in this series and that’s essentially Golden State’s plan.

Dallas can take solace in that it led Game 2 by 14 at the half but was just 5-of-19 from the floor, including 2-of-13, from three-point range in the third quarter as the game changed. The Mavs don’t have a lot of size as we noted above and were outscored 62-30 in the paint. Canadian Dwight Powell started at “centre” for Dallas but played eight minutes in Game 2. All this said, Dallas has won five straight at home in these playoffs. We think the Mavs get one. Dallas is 10-2 ATS in its past 12 as a favourite.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Mavericks?

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