Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 6 Prediction, NBA Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated May 11, 2023

NBA: Playoffs-Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors

The Los Angeles Lakers try again to reach the NBA’s Western Conference Finals as they host the defending champion Golden State Warriors in Game 6 on Friday.

Golden State
May 12, 2023, 10:00 PM ET
Staples Center
L.A. Lakers
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +139
Over / Under o +217


Betting Action


Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -167
Over / Under u +217


Betting Action


The Lakers’ attempt to doing away with the Warriors in San Francisco in Game 5 didn’t according to script, as Golden State won 121-106.

Even so, L.A. is pegged as a 2.5-point favourite on the NBA odds.

Warriors vs. Lakers NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

With Los Angeles losing Game 5 on Wednesday in San Francisco, 121-106, to cut its series lead to 3-2, the Lakers are now -238 series favourites (were -588 entering Game 5) and Golden State +175 (was +370). L.A. in six is the favoured exact result at -145, followed by Warriors in seven at +199 and Lakers in seven at +497.

The Warriors are 1-14 all-time when trailing a series 3-1. Prior to this series, they last trailed 3-1 in the 2019 NBA Finals against Toronto, which won in six. The last series win was in the 2016 West Finals against Oklahoma City. LeBron James-led teams are 17-0 all-time when leading a series 3-1. However, the Dubs will be very solidly favoured if they win Friday and then host Game 7 on Sunday. I give the Lakers little chance of winning that should it get there.

Los Angeles has covered five straight home games vs. Golden State.

Golden State Warriors

In Wednesday’s 15-point home win, Stephen Curry led Golden State with 27 points and eight assists, while Toronto native Andrew Wiggins had 25 points and seven rebounds. Draymond Green was the surprise with 20 points – he had totaled 27 points in the series entering Game 5. That the Warriors won with Klay Thompson shooting just 3-for-12 is a very good sign.

What’s not a good sign, though, are the continued struggles off the bench for centre Kevon Looney, who is dealing with an illness, and Jordan Poole. He had 21 points in Game 1 and has combined for only 22 since. Friday might be Poole’s last game with the team as trade rumours already have started. An amazing streak is on the line Friday as well: Golden State has won at least one road playoff game in 28 straight series dating to 2013, easily an NBA record. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their past six after a win.

Los Angeles Lakers

No doubt the big question entering Game 6 is the status of Lakers All-Star Anthony Davis, who at times has been the best player in the series. He took an inadvertent shot to the head from the Warriors’ Kevon Looney about midway through the fourth quarter Wednesday and didn’t return – actually wheelchaired off, which seemed a bit overly dramatic.

If Davis lands in the concussion protocol at any point before Friday’s game, he’s out. However, all signs point to Davis being able to go barring any setbacks. The Lakers are not winning without him. LeBron James appeared to tweak his ankle in the third quarter but he’s playing. LA is 6-0 at home in the playoffs, including the play-in game. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their past five after a loss.

Game 6 Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Lakers?

NBA Predictions