Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets Game 1 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated May 22, 2021

Damian Lillard, Trail Blazers, 2021

The Trail Blazers are 4-0 against the spread in the last 4 games with the Nuggets.

Portland
42-30
AT
May 22, 2021, 10:30 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Denver
47-25
Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -102
Over / Under o +226

45%

Betting Action

55%

Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -118
Over / Under u +226

45%

Betting Action

55%

Respect has been hard to come by for the Denver Nuggets, who look to reach the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history as they open their first-round series Saturday night against visiting Portland. The Nuggets rolled to a 47-win season to earn the No. 3 seed in the West behind the prohibitive MVP favorite – and yet, they’re just a minuscule fave against a Trail Blazers team that can score with the best of them, but has struggled mightily on defence.

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets NBA Playoff Odds

Oddsmakers like this one as a near-toss-up, with the host Nuggets only favoured by a point. And while experts like Portland’s chances of an upset here, the betting public is on the hosts at a 57-percent clip. The Nuggets enter the playoffs with 13 wins over their previous 18 games but have covered just two of their last six contests. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, own a 4-1 ATS record over their past five games and own an identical ATS mark in their last five vs. Denver.

The total for Saturday’s series curtain raiser is set at 227.5, with a whopping 83 percent of Sports Interaction customers siding with the Over. The Nuggets were one of the more reliable Over plays in the NBA this season, going 39-32-1 O/U – and they’ve converted the Over in 12 of their last 18 head-to-head meetings with the Trail Blazers. But Portland is trending in the opposite direction entering the weekend, having cashed the Under in four of their last six.

Portland Trail Blazers

High-scoring games were a regular season staple for the Blazers, who finished fifth in the NBA in points per game (116.1) but 27th in scoring defence (115.5). Don’t expect them to suddenly get better on the defensive end, instead relying on a deep and high-powered offence anchored by guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum and trade deadline acquisition Norman Powell. The trio combined to average 68.9 points and will be a big matchup problem for Denver.

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic has won plenty of games by himself this season, sitting as the betting favourite to win MVP honors after averaging 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.0 assists. And the reality is, he’s going to have to shoulder an enormous load in this series with Nuggets No. 2 option Jamal Murray out for the season with a torn ACL. With untested forward Michael Porter Jr. and a host of role players behind him, look for Jokic to improve on his regular-season stats in this series.

NBA Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets?

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