Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 7 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 18, 2024

NBA: Playoffs-Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

After massive swings in momentum, the Nuggets and Timberwolves are headed for Game 7 Sunday night in Denver.

Minnesota
56-26
AT
May 19, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Denver
57-25
Pointspread +4.5 -115
Moneyline +155
Over / Under o +201.5

0%

Betting Action

44%

Pointspread -4.5 -105
Moneyline -190
Over / Under u +201.5

0%

Betting Action

44%

There’s no better matchup in sports than a Game 7 and that’s exactly what we have on Sunday as the Minnesota Timberwolves have pushed the defending NBA champion Denver Nuggets to a winner-take-all head-to-head. Denver had Minnesota on the ropes heading into Game 6 on Thursday, but the T-Wolves responded with a 115-70 blowout win to force a deciding game in the series.

The Nuggets opened as 4.5-point favourites to win Game 7, with the total set at 197.5 on the NBA odds.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Odds

This is easily the smallest total of the series as the first six games were all set somewhere between 204 and 210 points, with the Over/Under splitting evenly. Oddsmakers seem to be overreacting to the 185 total points Minnesota and Denver combined for in Game 6. Remember, they’ve averaged 202.3 points per game in the series, with four of six games hitting 205 or more points.

Despite their 45-point loss in Game 6, the NBA futures board lists Denver with the second-shortest championship odds at +325. One interesting stat to consider, however, is the largest playoff margin of defeat by an eventual champion is 39 points, shared by the Bucks in 2021 and the Warriors in 2022. Minnesota looks like better value at +800 to win a title this year.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves played as close to a perfect game as possible in Game 6. Anthony Edwards finished with a game-high 27 points in what was the largest winning margin in a postseason contest since 2015. Jaden McDaniels added 21 points, but it was his defensive effort that really made a difference. The trio of Rudy Gobert, Karl-Anthony Towns and Naz Reid combined for 38 rebounds, nearly matching Denver’s team total of 43 boards. Depth scoring was also key as Minnesota’s bench outscored the Nuggets 36-9. The Timberwolves have the blueprint to beat Denver in Game 7, they just need a repeat performance.

Denver Nuggets

A slow start and a terrible shooting night sunk the Nuggets on Thursday. Denver was on the wrong side of a 27-2 run early in the game and they were outscored in every quarter. Nikola Jokic finished with 22 points, shooting 47.3 per cent from the field, but the rest of the Nuggets shot just 25.4 per cent. Jamal Murray finished with 10 points on 22.2 per cent shooting and he was a team-worst minus-32. Murray is reportedly dealing with a sore elbow, so that could be a factor in Game 7. What’s certain, however, is that if Denver turns in anything close to the performance they did in Game 6, it will be a stunning end of the season for last year’s champs.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 7?

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