Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Prediction, NBA Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 12, 2022

Sitting on the brink of elimination, the Mavericks are likely glad to be back in Dallas for Game 6 on Thursday as the home team has won the first five games in this second-round playoff series.

Phoenix
64-18
AT
May 12, 2022, 9:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-30
Pointspread -2 -118
Moneyline -144
Over / Under o +210.5

71%

Betting Action

29%

Pointspread +2 -103
Moneyline +120
Over / Under u +210.5

71%

Betting Action

29%

Game 6 of the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks’ series goes Thursday evening, with the home team winning the five first meetings and the Mavericks on the brink of elimination. The Suns came through in Game 5 with a dominating bounce-back effort, defeating Dallas 110-80. Ironically, this series is at 3-2 Phoenix, yet every game has been decided by at least seven points and three games by double-digits. The Suns have also won two of their three games by 20.

Tip-off for Game 6 at American Airlines Center goes at 9:30 p.m. EDT, with the Suns 2-point favourites to win on the road. The total is listed at 212.0 on the NBA odds.

Suns vs. Mavericks NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Aside from the winner of the game, the home-away splits have had one major difference: Phoenix’s offence. In the three games this series at Phoenix, the Suns are averaging 120 points. In their two losses at Dallas, the Suns averaged 97.5 points. Is it the home crowd rattling the Suns? Phoenix reached 114 points in two of their three road games last round, so maybe not.

The Suns also covered with ease in Game 5 and are now 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings with Dallas. The total went under for the third straight time this series and is now 3-2 through five games. As a result, the under is now 4-1 in the last five Suns–Mavs games played in Dallas.

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix’s big three all pulled their weight in Tuesday’s win. Devin Booker led the game with 28 points, Chris Paul had a game-high 10 assists, and Deandre Ayton collected a team-high nine rebounds. Booker also added seven rebounds and two steals as he continues to elevate his game when it matters. His 25.4 points per game these playoffs leads Phoenix and is seventh in the NBA among non-eliminated players.

Paul’s now had back-to-back single-digit outings, albeit Game 4 when he got in foul trouble. With Paul’s ability to take games over (see Game 6 versus New Orleans, and Game 2 of this series) it begs the question: will Chris Paul lead his team to a second straight conference final Thursday?

Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic put up a double-double in Tuesday’s loss with a game-high 28 points and 11 rebounds to go with three steals, but it wasn’t nearly enough. The Mavs shot 38 per cent from the field and even worse got cold from three, going eight for 32 from the arc. And just like that, Dallas ended up with an 80-point showing on offence and 30-point loss.

Jalen Brunson was another bright spot in Game 5, and has been throughout the postseason. The 25-year-old guard had 21 points in the loss and is now averaging over 23 a game in the playoffs.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Suns vs. Mavericks?

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