The San Antonio Spurs upset the Golden State Warriors with a 103-90 win on their home floor to avoid a sweep. It will be a lot tougher for them to extend the series any further with a win in Game 5 on Tuesday night. The Spurs were blown out in the first two games of the series on the road as Golden State outscored them by an average of 18.0 points in the wins. Can San Antonio possibly upset the Warriors on the road and force a Game 6?

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Golden State easily covered the spread in its first three games of the series at home. After a letdown in Game 4, the Warriors will be motivated to bounce back at home with a decisive win to book their spot in the second round.

The Spurs are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 following a SU win of 10 or more. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against winning teams. They’ve also failed to cover their last nine road games overall.

As for the Warriors, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss. They are also 26-8 in their last 34 conference quarterfinals. However, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games with the two covers coming in Games 1 and 2.

San Antonio Spurs

Some familiar faces stepped up for the Spurs in their Game 4 win to avoid the sweep. LaMarcus Aldridge led the way with 22 points and 10 rebounds while Manu Ginobili hit three-of-four shots from the field in the final quarter, including both of his three-point attempts. It was a thrilling finish for basketball fans in San Antonio. However, as inspiring as that performance was, it doesn’t necessarily inspire confidence in the Spurs heading into Game 5.

Aldridge was just seven-of-19 from the field in the Game 4 win. Meanwhile, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills and Danny Green combined to shoot just 12-of-30. San Antonio’s tough defense and a strong fourth quarter was just enough to help them squeeze out a win at home but it’s hard to imagine them winning Game 5 on the road with similar numbers.

Golden State Warriors

While the Warriors would have liked to complete the sweep, nobody on the roster seemed very worried following the Game 4 loss. For their part, Kevin Durant and company looked extremely sloppy in the defeat, so there will be plenty of room for improvement. It was the Spurs last stand and the Warriors just didn’t match their intensity.

Kevin Durant in particular admitted he needs to be better after scoring 34 points but on 12-of-28 shooting from the field. Meanwhile, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green were much worse as Thompson was four-of-16 while Green was four-of-14. That trio is too talented to struggle that badly at home in this NBA matchup.

Injuries

San Antonio

Manu Ginobili (SG)

Out Wed Rest - 04 / 04 / 18

Danny Green (SG)

Prob Sat Face - 17 / 03 / 18

Dejounte Murray (PG)

Ques Sat Ankle - 16 / 03 / 18

Rudy Gay (SF)

Prob Thurs Ear - 06 / 03 / 18

Pau Gasol (C)

Ques Sat Shoulder - 06 / 03 / 18

Tony Parker (PG)

Prob Mon Back - 09 / 02 / 18

Brandon Paul (SG)

Ques Wed Back - 02 / 02 / 18

LaMarcus Aldridge (PF)

Out Wed Rest - 24 / 01 / 18

Kawhi Leonard (SF)

out for season Quadricep - 15 / 01 / 18

Joffrey Lauvergne (C)

Ques Sat Finger - 04 / 12 / 17

Golden State

Shaun Livingston (PG)

Prob Sun Ankle - 20 / 04 / 18

JaVale McGee (C)

Prob Thurs Quadricep - 18 / 04 / 18

David West (PF)

Prob Thurs Ankle - 17 / 04 / 18

Andre Iguodala (SF)

Prob Mon Thigh - 15 / 04 / 18

Damian Jones (C)

Prob Tues Foot - 09 / 04 / 18

Nick Young (SG)

Prob Sat Illness - 07 / 04 / 18

Kevon Looney (SF)

Prob Thurs Flu - 02 / 04 / 18

Patrick McCaw (SG)

Early June Back - 01 / 04 / 18

Quinn Cook (PG)

Prob Tues Knee - 27 / 03 / 18

Chris Boucher (SF)

Out indefinitely Ankle - 25 / 03 / 18

Injuries

San Antonio

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Manu Ginobili (SG)	Out Wed	Rest - 04 / 04 / 18	3-7	6-3-1	+ -
Ginobili will not play Wednesday against the Lakers as he is to be rested.
Danny Green (SG)	Prob Sat	Face - 17 / 03 / 18	9-9	10-7-1	+ -
Green suffered a facial injury last game but is expected to be back in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Timberwolves.
Dejounte Murray (PG)	Ques Sat	Ankle - 16 / 03 / 18	10-9	10-8-1	+ -
Murray departed the last game with an ankle injury and it is unknown if he will play against the Timberwolves on Saturday.
Rudy Gay (SF)	Prob Thurs	Ear - 06 / 03 / 18	11-13	11-12-1	+ -
Gay blew out his left eardrum but is expected to suit up for Thursday's game against the Warriors.
Pau Gasol (C)	Ques Sat	Shoulder - 06 / 03 / 18	11-13	11-12-1	+ -
Gasol sat out the previous game with a shoulder injury and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Thunder on Saturday.
Tony Parker (PG)	Prob Mon	Back - 09 / 02 / 18	15-16	17-13-1	+ -
Parker sat out the last game due to tightness in his back but is likely to play against the Jazz on Monday.
Brandon Paul (SG)	Ques Wed	Back - 02 / 02 / 18	15-19	19-14-1	+ -
Paul missed the last game with back spasms and his status is uncertain against the Suns on Wednesday.
LaMarcus Aldridge (PF)	Out Wed	Rest - 24 / 01 / 18	18-21	22-16-1	+ -
Aldridge will not be available against the Grizzlies on Wednesday due to a day of rest.
Kawhi Leonard (SF)	out for season	Quadricep - 15 / 01 / 18	21-22	22-20-1	+ -
Leonard has been held out of action while recovering from tendinopathy in his right quadriceps and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
Joffrey Lauvergne (C)	Ques Sat	Finger - 04 / 12 / 17	32-31	31-32-1	+ -
Lauvergne sat out his third straight game with an injured finger and it is unknown if he will play against the Suns on Saturday.

Golden State

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Shaun Livingston (PG)	Prob Sun	Ankle - 20 / 04 / 18	10-9	7-12	+ -
Livingston is dealing with a left ankle injury but is likely to play against the Spurs in Game 4 of the Western Conference first round.
JaVale McGee (C)	Prob Thurs	Quadricep - 18 / 04 / 18	10-9	7-12	+ -
McGee is nursing a left quadriceps contusion but is likely to play against the Spurs in Game 3 of the Western Conference first round.
David West (PF)	Prob Thurs	Ankle - 17 / 04 / 18	11-9	7-12-1	+ -
West sustained an ankle injury but is likely to be available for Game 3 of the Western Conference first round against the Spurs.
Andre Iguodala (SF)	Prob Mon	Thigh - 15 / 04 / 18	11-9	7-12-1	+ -
Iguodala is expected to suit up against the Spurs in Game 2 of the Western Conference first round despite a left thigh contusion.
Damian Jones (C)	Prob Tues	Foot - 09 / 04 / 18	12-11	8-14-1	+ -
Jones is expected to suit up Tuesday against the Jazz despite a left mid-foot sprain.
Nick Young (SG)	Prob Sat	Illness - 07 / 04 / 18	12-12	9-14-1	+ -
Young is battling an illness but is expected to be available for Saturday's game against the Pelicans.
Kevon Looney (SF)	Prob Thurs	Flu - 02 / 04 / 18	14-13	10-16-1	+ -
Looney was absent from the lineup during the last game due to flu-like symptoms but is likely to be available against the Pacers on Thursday.
Patrick McCaw (SG)	Early June	Back - 01 / 04 / 18	14-14	11-16-1	+ -
McCaw is sidelined with a lumbosacral bone bruise and is expected to be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Quinn Cook (PG)	Prob Tues	Knee - 27 / 03 / 18	14-16	12-17-1	+ -
Cook is dealing with a left knee contusion but is expected to play in Tuesday's contest against the Pacers.
Chris Boucher (SF)	Out indefinitely	Ankle - 25 / 03 / 18	15-16	12-18-1	+ -
Boucher has been held out of action due to a sprained left ankle and it is unknown how much time he will be forced to miss.

Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction