Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated Jun 08, 2023

NBA: Finals-Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat

With only one day of rest, the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat continue the NBA Finals with Game 4 on Friday night. Denver leads 2-1.

June 09, 2023, 8:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -136
Over / Under o +211.5
Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +113
Over / Under u +211.5

When both Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray tally triple-doubles, one’s chances of winning are slim. That’s what happened on Wednesday night in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, helping the visiting Nuggets take the contest 109-94.

Looking ahead to Friday night’s fourth tilt, the NBA odds currently have Mike Malone’s Nuggets as slight -3.0 favourites. The total is set at 210.5.

Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Finals Betting Odds

The roller coaster ride that is the NBA Finals series table continues. Denver’s prices have shifted wildly depending on results. Before Game 3, they were -278 favourites to take the prize. After the bulldozing they performed in Game 3, that figure has skyrocketed to -1000. Conversely, the Heat were at +199 but are now +530. Fair warning, this is exactly the sort of situation when Miami has been at its most dangerous throughout the playoffs.

Denver has now claimed four consecutive road playoff games, dating back to Game 6 in the second round when they took out the Suns in Phoenix. In fact, of those four bouts, three were decided by 10 points or more. If the Nuggets have found a way to take their excellent play at home with them on their travels, then the Heat are indeed in big trouble.

Miami finds itself in a precarious spot. After earning the spoils in their first six home games leading up to Game 4 of the Eastern Conference final, they have now lost three in a row. Twice they’ve looked rather poor and, were it not for a sensational final few minutes in Game 6 against Boston, it could be argued that they’ve been alarmingly flat in all three of their most recent home matches.

Denver Nuggets

Game 3 was exactly what the doctor ordered for the Denver Nuggets. Just replace the word “doctor” with “coach Mike Malone” and the same principle applies. Malone was most displeased with his team’s Game 2 effort Sunday night, making his feelings known to the public in the post-game press conference. His players heard the message.

Is there a team in the NBA that can defeat the Nuggets when both of its stars play as well as they did in Game 3? The Joker mesmerized with 32 points, 10 assists and a bonkers 21 boards. For his part, Murray dominated to the tune of 34 points, 10 assists and the same number of rebounds. Both were unstoppable. It felt like a message was sent by Malone in the fourth quarter, as he kept both of them in the game despite that Denver had ballooned his lead to a comfortable margin.

51.2 per cent shooting from the field, 60-34 points in the paint in their favour, and 45 defensive rebounds to Miami’s 23 tell a large part of Game 3’s story. Don’t look now, but rookie Christian Braun (15 points) is finding his groove now as well.

Miami Heat

The Heat had best take note of the licence plate of the truck that hit them in Game 3. 1527, as in numbers 15 (Jamal Murray) and 27 (Nikola Jokic). This one didn’t look great.

In fairness, Miami put up a decent fight in the first half. The lead changed several times in the first and second quarters. It was only in the final minutes before the break that Denver began to assert themselves more emphatically. Bam Adebayo continues to have an amazing series. His 22 points mean he has tallied more than 20 in each of the first three games of this series. He also corralled 17 rebounds. Jimmy Butler led the team with 28 points, but no one else had more than 10, and that’s including bench players. 37.0 per cent field goal efficiency was never going to get the job done. Gabe Vincent, who was such a terrific presence in Denver, got into foul trouble early and often and had a paltry 2-for-10 night for seven points.

Game 4 Prediction: Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?

NBA Predictions