Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 4 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 12, 2021

Milwaukee needs to find some secondary scoring. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton combined to score 79 per cent of the Bucks' points in Game 3, the highest percentage for any duo in NBA playoff history.

Brooklyn
48-24
AT
June 13, 2021, 3:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee
46-26
Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -142
Over / Under o +228

81%

Betting Action

19%

Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +121
Over / Under u +228

81%

Betting Action

19%

With no team in NBA history ever coming back from an 0-3 hole in the playoffs, Thursday’s Game 3 was essentially a must-win for the Milwaukee Bucks.  It wasn’t a pretty game, but it ended in an 86-83 win for Milwaukee, who now trail the Brooklyn Nets 2-1 in this second-round series.

Brooklyn is a 2-point road favourite on the NBA odds to win in Game 4, with a total of 228.5.

Nets vs. Bucks NBA Playoff Odds

Sports Interaction bettors are all-in on the Nets in this one, with nearly 90 per cent of the action taking Brooklyn.  After falling a whopping 66.5 points short of the total in Game 3, it’s not surprising to see just under 80 per cent of bettors taking the Under in Game 4.  The last five games between these teams have gone Under the total.

Thursday’s loss was just the second time in Brooklyn’s last 13 games that they haven’t been able to pull out the W.  The total has now gone Under in four of their last five games, including all three games of this series.  The Nets are still a heavy -455 favourite to win this series.  They’re also -222 favourites to win the East and +105 favourites to win the NBA Championship.

Milwaukee knew home court could help turn this series around.  They’ve been strong at Fiserv Forum, winning 11 straight home games.  The total has gone Under in five of their last seven games overall and three of their last four home games.  The Bucks are +280 dogs to win the series and +425 to win the East.  They’re +1000 to win the NBA Championship, only ahead of the Clippers, Hawks and Nuggets.

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets were heavily outscored 30-11 in the first quarter of Game 3.  They finished the frame 5-for-25 from the field and 1-for-9 from deep.  Brooklyn’s strategy of targeting Brook Lopez in pick-and-roll situations, which worked well in the first two games, was exposed in Game 3.  Knowing that Lopez would drop back to cover the paint, Brooklyn was hitting easy jumpers through the first two games.  Those shots weren’t there early in Game 3 and it hurt the Nets.

Despite finishing with a team-high 30 points and 11 rebounds, Kevin Durant looked frustrated throughout the night on Thursday.  Durant has faced P.J. Tucker in the playoffs multiple times and it looked like Tucker got under his skin in Game 3.  After Tucker was called for a foul in the third quarter, things became heated with Durant, culminating in a bizarre scene that saw Durant’s bodyguard rush the floor and break things up.  The Durant and Tucker battle should be fascinating as this series goes on.

With James Harden still sidelined, Kyrie Irving is continuing to play efficiently.  Irving finished with 22 points on 22 shots in Game 3 and his matchup with Jrue Holiday could be crucial in the series.

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee’s offence finally came alive in the first quarter of Game 3.  Giannis Antetokounmpo was aggressive and drove to the paint, while Khris Middleton was perfectly using screens to open up jump shots.  Both players finished with 15 points and seven boards in the quarter and were the only Bucks players to score in the frame.  Unfortunately, the first quarter is where the offence stopped.

Antetokounmpo has struggled shooting the long ball all playoffs.  On Thursday he finished was 1-for-8 from the 3-point line and his poor shot selection almost allowed Brooklyn to climb back into the game.  Antetokounmpo finished the night 14-for-31 from the field and 4-for-9 from the free-throw line.  He had 33 points and 14 rebounds.

Middleton looks like he’s solved his shooting problems.  He went from starting Game 2 at 0-for-8 from the field to scoring a game-high 35 points and 15 rebounds in Game 3.  The problem for Milwaukee right now is the lack of secondary scoring.  Combining for 68 points in Game 3, Middleton and Antetokounmpo were responsible for 79 per cent of the Bucks’ points on Thursday.  That percentage is actually the highest for any duo in NBA playoff history.

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