Jazz vs. Nuggets Game 1 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds, Point Spread

Jeremy Perry | Updated Aug 16, 2020

utah jazz

The Denver Nuggets enter the playoffs on a down slope as they lost four of their final five games. Game 1 is Monday afternoon.

Utah
44-28
AT
August 17, 2020, 1:30 PM ET
HP Field House
Denver
46-27
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +165
Over / Under o +214.5

26%

Betting Action

74%

Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -185
Over / Under u +214.5

26%

Betting Action

74%

With the postseason officially starting soon we are going to be diving into one of the most intriguing matchups in the first round. The Denver Nuggets going up against the Utah Jazz. The Nuggets essentially have home court advantage but being in Orlando, there will be no fans, so home court advantage doesn’t have as big of an effect. Which of these teams will be able to come out of the gate and steal the first game?

NBA Playoff Odds

The Jazz are an underdog in Monday’s meeting but are just 7-10 straight up in that role this season. The good news is they are 10-7 against the spread (ATS) in that spot. They were 40-23 on the year against bad defensive teams that allow 106+ points per game.

Meanwhile, Denver is just 22-24 ATS as a favorite this season but is 37-14 straight up in those contests. All eight of their neutral site games have gone over and the over is also 11-6 in their last 17 against teams with a winning record.

Utah Jazz

The Jazz have been fluctuating up and down so far since the NBA season has resumed. They finished their eight regular season games with a 3-5 record with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, San Antonio Spurs and the New Orleans Pelicans. However, they have been resting some of their starters due to minor injuries and should have their key players back when this series begins.

Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell have all missed time during this eight-game stretch. But that shouldn’t affect this team that heavily going into this matchup against the Nuggets. The Jazz are going to need Mike Conley’s leadership and scoring if they want to get out and steal Game 1 in this series. Conley has averaged 18.0 points per game and that includes a nine-point effort in his last game when he played just 16 minutes. Conley wasn’t a difference-maker for this team prior to the break (just 14.4 points per game), so if he is approaching All-Star status again, he gives this team a Big Three with Gobert and Mitchell that makes them dangerous.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets enter the playoffs on a down slope as they lost four of their final five games. With Nikola Jokic, Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, Will Barton and Jamal Murray all missing games, it’s hard to guess just how good this team really is. Were they bad or could they simply not get on the same page? One thing that’s for sure is their defense has been awful. They’re allowing an incredible 124.7 points per game and if that continues in the playoffs, it’ll be a really short run for this team.

One positive for the Nuggets is that while starters were out, it allowed some of their young guys to develop. Michael Porter Jr. has been outstanding during his time in Orlando and was a huge reason that the Nuggets were still winning games with all of those injuries. He averaged 22.0 points per game in the bubble and if he can carve out some minutes on this very deep Nuggets squad, it will make them even more dangerous. Other guys like Bol Bol and P.J. Dozier were also playing very well and could be getting themselves a bigger role as well in the future.

Who Will Win Jazz vs. Nuggets?

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