Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction, NBA Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Jan 03, 2022

A statement win on New Year’s Day has the Golden State Warriors flying high as they prepare to host the Miami Heat on Monday night.

Miami
53-29
AT
January 03, 2022, 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
Golden State
53-29
Pointspread +11 -110
Moneyline +396
Over / Under o +215.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Pointspread -11 -110
Moneyline -492
Over / Under u +215.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

The Warriors pulled out a 123-116 triumph over the surging Utah Jazz to secure their hold on top spot in the competitive Western Conference. And they’re big-time home favourites Monday against a Heat team that holds down a top-four berth in the East but is barely above the .500 mark outside Miami this season.

Golden State is a 10-point favourite to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 214.5.

Heat vs. Warriors NBA Betting Odds

The Warriors have been a revelation against the spread this season (22-11-1 ATS), and that has been the case even with the largest of spreads. Golden State enters with a 4-1-1 mark when favoured by 10+ points – and for those of you looking for a tiny ML profit, the Warriors have won 12 in a row straight up when faves of 10 or more. On the flip side, Miami has covered four straight when getting 10+ points, but it hasn’t happened since October 2020.

This total is expected to land between 214 and 220, and it will be intriguing to see which team trend bettors trust more. The Heat have one of the top Over records in the NBA to this point in the season at 22-15, while the Warriors have been a superior Under play at 11-22-2 (including just five Overs in their first 19 games at Chase Center). Golden State is allowing a minuscule 99.5 points per game on home court, the only team limiting foes to a sub-100 mark.

Miami Heat

Facing the Warriors in hostile territory is daunting enough – but the Heat have two major factors working against them here. The first: they’re coming off a heart-wrenching 115-113 loss in Sacramento on Sunday night, a defeat in which Miami’s starting five each played between 33 and 36 minutes. The second: All players either injured or in the league’s COVID-19 protocol are out again Monday, a list that includes Bam Adebayo, Victor Oladipo and Duncan Robinson.

Golden State Warriors

While the Heat continue to lean heavily on taxed starters and hardship signings, the Warriors are getting healthier by the day. Draymond Green has cleared COVID-19 protocols and is eligible to return to action Monday; he missed a pair of games, during which the Warriors went 1-1. Green continues to be one of the most versatile players in the NBA, averaging 8.4 points, 7.9 rebounds and 7.5 assists while contending in the Defensive Player of the Year race.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Heat vs. Warriors?

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