Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons Prediction, NBA Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Apr 04, 2023

The Miami Heat begin their final road trip of the season when they head to Detroit to play the Pistons Tuesday night.

Miami
44-38
AT
April 04, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit
17-65
Pointspread -14 -110
Moneyline -863
Over / Under o +217.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Pointspread +14 -110
Moneyline +657
Over / Under u +217.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Although guaranteed a play-in spot, the Heat are still battling for the East’s final playoff berth as they stand two games back of Brooklyn with four games to go. Detroit’s dropped 20 of their last 21 and it looks more and more likely they’ll finish with the NBA’s worst record.

Miami’s been off since Saturday, winning 129-122 against Dallas and breaking a three-game losing skid in the process. Detroit’s returning from a three-game road trip in which they most recently suffered a 128-102 defeat at Orlando.

Tip-off at Little Caesars Arena goes at 7 p.m. EDT and it’s Miami a double-digit road favourite at -11.5 on the NBA odds.

Heat vs. Pistons NBA Betting Odds

Miami and Detroit come into Tuesday as two of the NBA’s three-lowest scoring clubs. It’s the double-digit favourite Heat who rank dead last in scoring too with 109 points per game. But on the flip side, the Heat are second-best in the NBA in points allowed, and Detroit’s fourth-worst.

For Miami the lack of scoring on both sides has led to the under going 23-14-1 in their 38 road games this season. The under has also hit in six of the Heat’s last seven outings, and also in four of their last five visits to Detroit. Tuesday’s contest is for the season series, with the road team winning by double digits in the first two games.

Miami Heat

With centre Bam Adebayo dealing with a right hip contusion, Cody Zeller made his first start since May 2021 and had a terrific showing Saturday with 20 points and eight rebounds on nine of 13 shooting. Jimmy Butler was just as efficient and a higher rate, dropping a team-high 35 while going 12 for 16 from the field.

On a concerning note, Saturday was the third time in Miami’s last five outings they’ve allowed 120 or more points. The Heat let Dallas shoot 61 per cent from the field too which was only negated because Miami was over 52 per cent themselves. As the post-season approaches, Tuesday’s an opportunity for Miami to tighten up on D.

Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have just a single win since February 10. Sunday’s loss at Orlando was their ninth straight, six of which have been by double digits. Right now Detroit’s playing to avoid having their franchise’s worst record ever, which would be avoided with one more victory this year.

On a positive, with 14 points Sunday Jaden Ivey became the first Pistons rookie to score in double digits in 65 games. Killian Hayes led the Pistons with 20 points Sunday and had at least five assists for the 22nd consecutive game. James Wiseman also picked up his second double-double in Detroit’s last three outings with 12 points and 10 rebounds.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Heat vs. Pistons?

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