Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Apr 25, 2023

Fresh off Jimmy Butler's historic 56-point performance on Monday, can the Miami Heat stun the Milwaukee Bucks and close out the first-round playoff series in Game 5 on Wednesday?

Miami
44-38
AT
April 26, 2023, 9:30 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee
58-24
Pointspread +13.5 -110
Moneyline +576
Over / Under o +219.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread -13.5 -110
Moneyline -744
Over / Under u +219.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Jimmy Butler‘s historic performance for Miami in Game 4 against the Bucks has the eighth-seeded Heat leading Milwaukee, the top overall seed in the playoffs, 3-1 in the first-round series. Game 5 shifts back to the Cream City on Wednesday night.

Despite sitting on the verge of elimination in the series, Milwaukee enters Game 5 as an 11-point favourite to win on the NBA odds.

Heat vs. Bucks NBA Betting Odds

This series moving back to Milwaukee for Game 5 couldn’t have come at a better time for the Bucks as the home team has won 11 of the last 12 games between these teams. High scoring continues to be a staple, with the Over hitting in six straight games.

Miami has been a great cover option over the last couple of weeks as they are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games. It’s worth keeping in mind, they’ve also hit the Over in five straight road games. After their strong performance through three games, the Heat are now +110 favourites on the series line.

Milwaukee has struggled recently, going 1-5 ATS and straight up across their last six games. A lack of defence could be partially to blame as all six of those games have hit the Over. After entering the first-round as heavy favourites, the Bucks have dropped to +110 underdogs on the series line.

Miami Heat

It was the Jimmy Butler show in Game 4. Miami’s star player dropped 56 points in the win, tying the fourth-best scoring performance ever in a playoff game. It was a career-high in points for Butler and set a new franchise record. The Heat trailed by as much as 14 points in the fourth quarter and didn’t take their first lead of the game until just over three minutes remaining.

Miami is on the verge of history with the Bucks on the brink of elimination. It’s only the fifth time a No. 8 seed has led a No. 1 seed 3-1 in a series since the NBA went to a 16-team playoff format in 1984. The Heat haven’t been without their fair share of adversity, however. Tyler Herro is done for the series after breaking his hand in Game 1 and Victor Oladipo has been ruled out for the rest of the season after suffering a serious knee injury in Game 3.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez and Giannis Antetokounmpo did all they could in Game 4, but ultimately it wasn’t enough. Lopez finished with 36 points and 11 rebounds, while Antetokounmpo had 26 points, 13 assists and 10 boards. It was Antetokounmpo’s first action since missing the previous two games with a back contusion. Milwaukee led for the majority of the game, but gave up the lead in the dying minutes.

The Bucks now need to win three straight games to avoid a shocking first-round exit. Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton each scored 14 points for Milwaukee in Game 4, but no other player on the team managed more than eight points, something that needs to change as Antetokounmpo is still less than 100 per cent healthy.

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