Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Game 5 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Apr 26, 2022

Jimmy Butler, Miami Heat, 2022

The Heat have covered five straight as a home favorite and 9 of their last 11 overall. They will look to close out the Hawks Tuesday evening.

Atlanta
43-39
AT
April 26, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Miami
53-29
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +157
Over / Under o +215

31%

Betting Action

69%

Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -189
Over / Under u +215

31%

Betting Action

69%

The Atlanta Hawks have their backs up against the wall. They trail the Miami Heat 3-1 in their first-round playoff series and one more loss ends their season. They’re a 7.5-point road dog at the Heat on Tuesday. Can they find a way to extend this series or are they completely tapped out?

Hawks vs. Heat NBA Betting Odds

The Atlanta Hawks continue to struggle to cover the spread against winning teams. They are now just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. On top of that, they’ve covered just eight of their last 30 road games and six of their last 21 as a road dog. The trends aren’t looking very good for them here.

As for the Miami Heat, they have covered five straight as a home favorite and 9 of their last 11 overall. Interestingly enough, the under is 12-2 in the last 14 playoff games where the Heat were favored.

Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks have dropped three of the first four games in this series and quite frankly, they’re lucky to still be alive. Had it not been for a special Trae Young floater in Game 3, they’d already be cooked.

Young has been the key catalyst for the Hawks’ offense all season but he’s gone ice cold in this series. He averaged 28.4 points per game in the regular season, which was the fourth-best mark in the league. However, he been held to nine or less in two of the four games – including Game 4. For the series, he’s shooting just 32.1% from the field and 20.8% from three.

The challenge for the Hawks is they not only need a great game from Young, they also need several other players to step up and deliver. Right now, that depth isn’t showing up and neither is the All-Star version of Trae Young that we’ve come to know so well.

This has to be a collective, team-wide effort to make this happen if the Heat want to pull off this upset.

Miami Heat

The Heat have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. Early in the series, some people thought that the Hawks might have a chance when they get back to full strength. However, they got back John Collins early and Clint Capela in Game 4, and it still hasn’t made much of an impact.

The Heat continue to do whatever they want. They’ve scored at least 110 in every game in this series and Jimmy Butler has been unstoppable. He’s averaging 30.5 points per game, which is incredible. The Heat also got back the services of guard Victor Oladipo and if they can get back Kyle Lowry too, the Heat are very likely to be finished off in this spot.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Hawks vs. Heat?

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