Toronto Raptors coach Nick Nurse is adopting Fresh Prince Coach Smiley’s philosophy, but substituting Will for Kawhi in the key principle of “Pass it to Will.”
The Milwaukee Bucks are steamrolling opponents in the 2019 NBA Playoffs, but oddsmakers have them as the underdogs in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals on Sunday.
Only 6.6 percent of all NBA teams down 0-2 have come back and gone on to win the series. The Toronto Raptors are hoping they can add their names to the history books. To do that, they’ll have to come up with a new game plan for stopping Giannis Antetokounmpo and Co.
NBA Playoffs Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Attention NBA bettors: the Bucks are covering the spread in these playoffs at a historical rate. Since the 2004 playoffs, only two teams have ever covered the number in at least 75 percent of their playoff games and made it at least to the third round.
The 2008-09 Denver Nuggets went 13-3 against the spread (81.2 percent cover rate) and the 2010-11 Dallas Mavericks went 15-4-2 ATS (79 percent). Milwaukee is 10-1 against the number in its first 11 postseason games. That’s a 90.1 percent win rate for ATS bettors. Not too shabby.
Making matters worse for Toronto supporters – the Bucks are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven head-to-head meetings with the Raptors.
The pace in this series has been significantly quicker than last round against the Sixers, but the Raptors are still struggling to find a groove at the offensive end. The Raps are averaging just 99.5 points per 100 possessions while allowing 114.2 in the East finals.
Nick Nurse is adopting Fresh Prince Coach Smiley’s philosophy, but substituting Will for Kawhi in the key principle of “Pass it to Will.”
About 68 percent of Sports Interaction bettors are backing the Bucks to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs in Game 3 while 79 percent expect the score to surpass the 220-point Over/Under line.
Milwaukee Bucks
Game 2 marked the sixth time in these playoffs the Bucks have won by 20 or more points in a contest. They became only the third team to record such a feat in a single playoff. Two of those three teams (‘18 Warriors, ‘14 Spurs) went on to win the title. The other team (‘96 Jazz) lost to arguably the best team in NBA history.
Golden State is still the favourite to win the 2019 NBA title at -200. Sports Interaction lists the Bucks as the next favourite at +175 odds.
Toronto Raptors
Marc Gasol does so many little things to help a basketball team win games. His defensive was pivotal in the conference semifinals against the Sixers Joel Embiid, but he’s looked out of place in this series.
Gasol missed a number of point blank shots at the rim in the early going of Game 2. It helped the Bucks jump out to a 9-0 first-quarter lead. The three-time All-Star is averaging just 7.9 points while shooting an ugly 39.8 percent from the field in the playoffs this year.
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time | fav | line | total |
---|---|---|---|
Opening 18 May 8:04am | MIL | -3 -110 | O +220.5 -110 |
Closing 19 May 11:08pm | MIL | -2.5 -107 | O +221.5 -108 |
Injuries
D.J. Wilson (PF)
D.J. Wilson (PF)
Sterling Brown (SG)
Pat Connaughton (SG)
Brook Lopez (C)
Ersan Ilyasova (PF)
Ersan Ilyasova (PF)
Tony Snell (SG)
George Hill (PG)
Nikola Mirotic (PF)
Fred VanVleet (PG)
Patrick McCaw (SG)
Pascal Siakam (PF)
Jeremy Lin (PG)
Chris Boucher (PF)
Chris Boucher (PF)
Serge Ibaka (C)
Danny Green (SG)
Danny Green (SG)
Patrick McCaw (SG)
Injuries
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
D.J. Wilson (PF) | Prob Tues | Ankle - 19 / 05 / 19 | 1-3 | 3-1 | + - |
Wilson is battling left ankle soreness but is likely to suit up for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Raptors. |
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D.J. Wilson (PF) | Prob Fri | Ankle - 07 / 05 / 19 | 4-3 | 3-4 | + - |
Wilson has a left ankle sprain but is expected to suit up for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Raptors. |
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Sterling Brown (SG) | Prob Tues | Back - 28 / 04 / 19 | 7-4 | 6-5 | + - |
Brown is battling back spasms but is likely to be available against the Celtics in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference second round. |
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Pat Connaughton (SG) | Prob Wed | Ankle - 09 / 04 / 19 | 10-6 | 9-7 | + - |
Connaughton has a left ankle sprain but is likely to play Wednesday against the Thunder. |
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Brook Lopez (C) | Out Wed | Rest - 09 / 04 / 19 | 10-6 | 9-7 | + - |
Lopez will not be in Wednesday's lineup as he will be given the night off to rest. |
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Ersan Ilyasova (PF) | Prob Sat | Nose - 05 / 04 / 19 | 11-7 | 11-7 | + - |
Ilyasova is dealing with a nasal fracture but is expected to take the court against the Nets on Saturday. |
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Ersan Ilyasova (PF) | Prob Thurs | Back - 01 / 04 / 19 | 12-8 | 13-7 | + - |
Ilyasova sat out the previous game due to a sore back but it is likely he will suit up against the 76ers on Thursday. |
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Tony Snell (SG) | Ques Sat | Ankle - 24 / 03 / 19 | 15-8 | 15-9 | + - |
Snell is sidelined with a left ankle sprain and it is unknown if he will return for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round against the Pistons. |
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George Hill (PG) | Prob Fri | Groin - 20 / 03 / 19 | 16-9 | 15-11 | + - |
Hill missed the previous game due to soreness in his left groin but is expected to face the Heat on Friday. |
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Nikola Mirotic (PF) | Prob Sun | Thumb - 20 / 03 / 19 | 16-9 | 15-11 | + - |
Mirotic is sidelined due to a fracture in his left thumb but it is likely he will return to action against the Pistons in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round. |
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fred VanVleet (PG) | Prob Mon | Face - 08 / 06 / 19 | 2-0 | 1-2 | + - |
VanVleet sustained a facial laceration and chipped tooth in the previous game but is expected to suit up for Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Warriors. |
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Patrick McCaw (SG) | Prob Thurs | Personal - 15 / 05 / 19 | 7-4 | 6-6 | + - |
McCaw has been tending to a personal matter, but he is likely to return for Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Warriors. |
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Pascal Siakam (PF) | Prob Sun | Calf - 04 / 05 / 19 | 9-6 | 8-8 | + - |
Siakam is expected to play in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference second round against the 76ers despite a right calf contusion. |
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Jeremy Lin (PG) | Prob Tues | Back - 02 / 05 / 19 | 9-7 | 8-9 | + - |
Lin is battling back spasms but is expected to suit up against the 76ers in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference second round. |
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Chris Boucher (PF) | Prob Wed | Back - 01 / 05 / 19 | 9-7 | 8-9 | + - |
Boucher is dealing with back spasms but it is likely he will play in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Bucks. |
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Chris Boucher (PF) | Ques Mon | Back - 18 / 04 / 19 | 13-8 | 9-13 | + - |
Boucher is dealing with back spasms and it is unclear if he will be available for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference second round against the 76ers. |
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Serge Ibaka (C) | Out Tues | Rest - 09 / 04 / 19 | 15-9 | 10-15 | + - |
Ibaka will not suit up against the Timberwolves on Tuesday as he is to be rested. |
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Danny Green (SG) | Prob Tues | Ankle - 07 / 04 / 19 | 15-10 | 10-15-1 | + - |
Green tweaked his ankle in the last game but it is anticipated that he will play against the Timberwolves on Tuesday. |
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Danny Green (SG) | Prob Wed | Thumb - 01 / 04 / 19 | 18-10 | 12-16-1 | + - |
Green jammed his left thumb during the last game but it is unlikely to deter him from being available against the Nets on Wednesday. |
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Patrick McCaw (SG) | Prob Fri | Thumb - 30 / 03 / 19 | 19-10 | 12-17-1 | + - |
McCaw has been debilitated with a sprained right thumb but will likely return to action against the Magic in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round. |
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Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 18 May 8:04am MIL -3 -110 O +220.5 -110 Closing 19 May 11:08pm MIL -2.5 -107 O +221.5 -108 -
Injuries
D.J. Wilson (PF)
Prob Tues Ankle - 19 / 05 / 19D.J. Wilson (PF)
Prob Fri Ankle - 07 / 05 / 19Sterling Brown (SG)
Prob Tues Back - 28 / 04 / 19Pat Connaughton (SG)
Prob Wed Ankle - 09 / 04 / 19Brook Lopez (C)
Out Wed Rest - 09 / 04 / 19Ersan Ilyasova (PF)
Prob Sat Nose - 05 / 04 / 19Ersan Ilyasova (PF)
Prob Thurs Back - 01 / 04 / 19Tony Snell (SG)
Ques Sat Ankle - 24 / 03 / 19George Hill (PG)
Prob Fri Groin - 20 / 03 / 19Nikola Mirotic (PF)
Prob Sun Thumb - 20 / 03 / 19Fred VanVleet (PG)
Prob Mon Face - 08 / 06 / 19Patrick McCaw (SG)
Prob Thurs Personal - 15 / 05 / 19Pascal Siakam (PF)
Prob Sun Calf - 04 / 05 / 19Jeremy Lin (PG)
Prob Tues Back - 02 / 05 / 19Chris Boucher (PF)
Prob Wed Back - 01 / 05 / 19Chris Boucher (PF)
Ques Mon Back - 18 / 04 / 19Serge Ibaka (C)
Out Tues Rest - 09 / 04 / 19Danny Green (SG)
Prob Tues Ankle - 07 / 04 / 19Danny Green (SG)
Prob Wed Thumb - 01 / 04 / 19Patrick McCaw (SG)
Prob Fri Thumb - 30 / 03 / 19Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes D.J. Wilson (PF) Prob Tues Ankle - 19 / 05 / 19 1-3 3-1 + - Wilson is battling left ankle soreness but is likely to suit up for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Raptors.
D.J. Wilson (PF) Prob Fri Ankle - 07 / 05 / 19 4-3 3-4 + - Wilson has a left ankle sprain but is expected to suit up for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Raptors.
Sterling Brown (SG) Prob Tues Back - 28 / 04 / 19 7-4 6-5 + - Brown is battling back spasms but is likely to be available against the Celtics in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference second round.
Pat Connaughton (SG) Prob Wed Ankle - 09 / 04 / 19 10-6 9-7 + - Connaughton has a left ankle sprain but is likely to play Wednesday against the Thunder.
Brook Lopez (C) Out Wed Rest - 09 / 04 / 19 10-6 9-7 + - Lopez will not be in Wednesday's lineup as he will be given the night off to rest.
Ersan Ilyasova (PF) Prob Sat Nose - 05 / 04 / 19 11-7 11-7 + - Ilyasova is dealing with a nasal fracture but is expected to take the court against the Nets on Saturday.
Ersan Ilyasova (PF) Prob Thurs Back - 01 / 04 / 19 12-8 13-7 + - Ilyasova sat out the previous game due to a sore back but it is likely he will suit up against the 76ers on Thursday.
Tony Snell (SG) Ques Sat Ankle - 24 / 03 / 19 15-8 15-9 + - Snell is sidelined with a left ankle sprain and it is unknown if he will return for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round against the Pistons.
George Hill (PG) Prob Fri Groin - 20 / 03 / 19 16-9 15-11 + - Hill missed the previous game due to soreness in his left groin but is expected to face the Heat on Friday.
Nikola Mirotic (PF) Prob Sun Thumb - 20 / 03 / 19 16-9 15-11 + - Mirotic is sidelined due to a fracture in his left thumb but it is likely he will return to action against the Pistons in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Fred VanVleet (PG) Prob Mon Face - 08 / 06 / 19 2-0 1-2 + - VanVleet sustained a facial laceration and chipped tooth in the previous game but is expected to suit up for Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Warriors.
Patrick McCaw (SG) Prob Thurs Personal - 15 / 05 / 19 7-4 6-6 + - McCaw has been tending to a personal matter, but he is likely to return for Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Warriors.
Pascal Siakam (PF) Prob Sun Calf - 04 / 05 / 19 9-6 8-8 + - Siakam is expected to play in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference second round against the 76ers despite a right calf contusion.
Jeremy Lin (PG) Prob Tues Back - 02 / 05 / 19 9-7 8-9 + - Lin is battling back spasms but is expected to suit up against the 76ers in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference second round.
Chris Boucher (PF) Prob Wed Back - 01 / 05 / 19 9-7 8-9 + - Boucher is dealing with back spasms but it is likely he will play in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Bucks.
Chris Boucher (PF) Ques Mon Back - 18 / 04 / 19 13-8 9-13 + - Boucher is dealing with back spasms and it is unclear if he will be available for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference second round against the 76ers.
Serge Ibaka (C) Out Tues Rest - 09 / 04 / 19 15-9 10-15 + - Ibaka will not suit up against the Timberwolves on Tuesday as he is to be rested.
Danny Green (SG) Prob Tues Ankle - 07 / 04 / 19 15-10 10-15-1 + - Green tweaked his ankle in the last game but it is anticipated that he will play against the Timberwolves on Tuesday.
Danny Green (SG) Prob Wed Thumb - 01 / 04 / 19 18-10 12-16-1 + - Green jammed his left thumb during the last game but it is unlikely to deter him from being available against the Nets on Wednesday.
Patrick McCaw (SG) Prob Fri Thumb - 30 / 03 / 19 19-10 12-17-1 + - McCaw has been debilitated with a sprained right thumb but will likely return to action against the Magic in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference first round.