Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game 3 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated May 27, 2021

bucks giannis

The third-seeded Bucks had a surprisingly easy time in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series with the sixth-seeded Heat – but the task becomes more difficult in Game 3 on Thursday.

Milwaukee
46-26
AT
May 27, 2021, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Miami
40-32
Pointspread -2 -110
Moneyline -125
Over / Under o +224.5

79%

Betting Action

21%

Pointspread +2 -110
Moneyline +105
Over / Under u +224.5

79%

Betting Action

21%

The Bucks jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the series with Monday’s 132-98 home rout, leaving the Heat scrambling for answers as they look to defend their Eastern Conference title with the series shifting to South Beach.

Bucks vs. Heat NBA Playoff Odds

The Bucks enter Game 3 as slight favourites, and a whopping 87 percent of Sports Interaction bettors are siding with the visitors. It will be interesting to see where the sharp money lands here, given that Milwaukee is just 14-22 ATS on the road this season. The Bucks are also just 2-7 ATS over their last nine games overall, while the Heat are on a 6-2 ATS heater despite that 34-point drubbing last time out at Fiserv Forum.

The total for Thursday’s Game 3 is set at 226.5, with the Over and Under carrying identical -110 odds. And 69 percent of Sports Interaction customers like the O226.5 play here, despite the prevailing trend between the teams. The Bucks and Heat have converted the Under in 12 of their last 18 meetings, which might somewhat negate the fact that Miami is on an incredible 12-3 O/U run in its last 15 contests overall.

Milwaukee Bucks

What a difference a game made for the Bucks, who went from ice-cold to red-hot from the 3-point line to exert their dominance. After shooting just 5-of-31 from long range in a narrow Game 1 win, everything went right for Milwaukee in Game 2 as the visitors connected on 22 of their 53 attempts from long range – a playoff franchise record for 3-point makes in a game. The Bucks also held Miami under 100 points for the first time in 19 playoff games.

Miami Heat

After shooting a blistering 20-of-50 from deep in Game 1, the Heat couldn’t buy a bucket from long range in Game 2, going just 8-for-28. Those eight 3-pointers were two fewer than the Bucks had in the first quarter alone – and if this series is ultimately decided from beyond the arc, the Bucks (5th in the NBA in 3-point shooting during the regular season) have a significant edge over the Heat (19th in long-range success rate).

NBA Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Bucks vs. Heat?

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