Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Apr 24, 2023

Can the Miami Heat take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they host the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night?

April 24, 2023, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Pointspread -8 -110
Moneyline -365
Over / Under o +218


Betting Action


Pointspread +8 -110
Moneyline +285
Over / Under u +218


Betting Action


The Milwaukee Bucks were once again without superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo due to injury in Saturday night’s Game 3 and it cost them. The Heat rolled to a 121-99 victory to take a 2-1 lead in the first-round playoff series ahead of Monday’s Game 4 in Miami.

Milwaukee opened as a 5.5-point favourite to win Game 4, with the total sitting at 217.5 on the NBA odds.

Bucks vs. Heat NBA Betting Odds

The home side continues to dominate this all-time series, winning 10 of the last 11 games. The Over has now hit in five straight games between the teams and eight of the last 11.

Despite entering the playoffs as the top overall seed, the Bucks have now dropped four of their last five games, going 1-4 against the spread in that span. The’ve hit the Over in all five of those games. Milwaukee is now +297 to win the NBA championship and +182 to win the Eastern Conference, sitting second to the Boston Celtics in both categories.

Miami has won seven of their last 10 games overall and five straight at home against the Bucks. They’re 4-2 ATS in their last six games and have hit the Over in eight of their last 10. The Heat are +8730 to win the NBA championship and +3364 to win the East.

The Bucks sit as a -208 favourite on the series line, while Miami is a +154 underdog.

Milwaukee Bucks

Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday and Grayson Allen shouldered the majority of the load in the absence of Antetokounmpo in Game 3. Middleton led the team with 23 points, while Holiday finished with 19 and Allen added 14. Milwaukee never really posed a threat in the game and ended up being outscored in all four quarters. The Bucks managed to go 10 for 18 from beyond the arc in the first half, but cooled in the second, hitting just five of 21 three-point attempts.

Milwaukee clearly needs Antetokounmpo back in the lineup to avoid becoming just the sixth No. 1 seed ever to fall to a No. 8 seed in the opening round of the NBA playoffs. The Greek Freak has missed the last two games with a back contusion, playing just 11 minutes in the series. Antetokounmpo has done some individual workouts, but hasn’t practiced with the team since the injury. He will likely be a game-time decision again for Game 4.

*UPDATE*: Antetokounmpo was at Milwaukee’s Monday morning shootaround and will reportedly play Game 4.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler scored a game-high 30 points in Game 3 as Miami dominated from the opening tip-off. The Heat set a franchise record by making 12 threes in the opening half, going on a 19-0 run at one point. Six different players scored in double figures for Miami, including Duncan Robinson, who had 20 points. Former Toronto Raptor Kyle Lowry added 15 points in his most productive game of the series.

It’s not all good news for the Heat, however, as they have their own injury issues to deal with. Already missing Tyler Herro because of a broken hand, key players Butler and Victor Oladipo also went down in Game 3. Butler landed hard on his back midway through the third quarter and sat out the remainder of the game, although he didn’t need to return as Miami was assured the win. Oladipo’s injury was more serious as he’s reportedly done for the season with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee. There’s been no official update on Butler, but he’s expected to play in Game 4.

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