After being stomped by the Bucks in Game 2, can the Heat rally back when the series moves home to Miami for Game 3 on Saturday?
The Bucks were missing superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo against Miami in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series on Wednesday, but it didn’t matter as Milwaukee dominated the Heat 138-122 to tie things up at one win apiece.
Saturday’s Game 3 in Miami sees the Bucks enter as 5-point favourites to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 220.5.
Bucks vs. Heat NBA Betting Odds
The home side has dominated this head-to-head series, winning nine of the last 10 games dating back to October 2021. High scoring has been a staple, with the Over hitting in seven of those 10 games.
Milwaukee covered the spread as 6.5-point favourites in Game 2, but they’re still just 2-4 against the spread in their last six games. While they’ve won 15 of their last 18 road contests, it’s worth noting they’ve lost four of their last five games in Miami. The Bucks are currently the favourites to win both the Eastern Conference (+122) and the NBA championship (+243).
The Heat have proven they can put points on the board as they’ve hit the Over in seven of their last nine games. They’re likely glad to be returning to their home court, where they’ve won seven of the last nine games. Miami remains a long shot to win the East (+5490) and the NBA championship (+13,500).
Milwaukee is a -500 favourite to win the series, while the Heat are +327 underdogs.
Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks didn’t need Antetokounmpo, who was ruled out with a back contusion, on Wednesday. Brook Lopez led the way with 25 points and four rebounds, while Jrue Holiday finished with 24 points and 11 assists. Pat Connaughton added a crucial 22 points off the bench. Milwaukee shot 25 of 49 from beyond the arc, matching an NBA record for threes in a game.
The story of Game 3 will be the status of Antetokounmpo, a finalist for NBA MVP. The Greek Freak went down in the first quarter of Sunday’s Game 1 loss after taking contact from Miami’s Kevin Love while driving to the net. As of Friday night, Antetokounmpo’s status remains uncertain for Game 3. The two-time MVP did individual work before the Bucks’ practice on Friday, but didn’t participate with the team.
Miami Heat
Miami had six different players score at least 15 points in Game 2, but it wasn’t enough to keep pace with Milwaukee’s long range shooting accuracy. Jimmy Butler was the top scorer for the Heat, finishing with 25 points. Bam Adebayo added 18 points and Gabe Vincent had 16. Miami is averaging 114.3 points per game over their last 10 contests while also giving up 114.3 ppg.
Like the Bucks, the Heat were also missing a key piece of their lineup on Wednesday. Tyler Herro, who broke his hand in Game 1, won’t play the rest of this series and likely won’t see the court again this season unless Miami makes a run to the NBA Finals. It’s a big loss for the team as Herro averaged 20.1 ppg during the regular season and the Heat average a league-low 109.5 ppg as a team.
NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Bucks vs. Heat?
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time | fav | line | total |
---|---|---|---|
Opening 20 Apr 1:02pm | MIL | -5.5 -110 | O +220 -110 |
Closing 22 Apr 11:51pm | MIL | -2 -110 | O +215.5 -110 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Bucks Team Leaders
Points |
31.1 |
Assists |
7.39 |
Rebounds |
11.78 |
FG% |
55.3 |
Steals |
1.18 |
Blocks |
2.47 |
Points |
22.91 |
Assists |
5.31 |
Rebounds |
9.17 |
FG% |
62.7 |
Steals |
1.83 |
Blocks |
0.81 |
Points |
23.8 |
Assists |
8 |
Rebounds |
11 |
FG% |
66.7 |
Steals |
1.4 |
Blocks |
1.8 |
Points |
26.91 |
Assists |
5.86 |
Rebounds |
9.87 |
FG% |
61.5 |
Steals |
1.82 |
Blocks |
1 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Heat Team Leaders
Points |
31.1 |
Assists |
7.39 |
Rebounds |
11.78 |
FG% |
55.3 |
Steals |
1.18 |
Blocks |
2.47 |
Points |
22.91 |
Assists |
5.31 |
Rebounds |
9.17 |
FG% |
62.7 |
Steals |
1.83 |
Blocks |
0.81 |
Points |
23.8 |
Assists |
8 |
Rebounds |
11 |
FG% |
66.7 |
Steals |
1.4 |
Blocks |
1.8 |
Points |
26.91 |
Assists |
5.86 |
Rebounds |
9.87 |
FG% |
61.5 |
Steals |
1.82 |
Blocks |
1 |
Injuries
Wesley Matthews (SG)
Brook Lopez (C)
AJ Green (PG)
Brook Lopez (C)
Pat Connaughton (SG)
Grayson Allen (SG)
Jevon Carter (PG)
Khris Middleton (SF)
Grayson Allen (SG)
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)
Cody Zeller (PF)
Caleb Martin (SF)
Cody Zeller (PF)
Gabe Vincent (SG)
Gabe Vincent (SG)
Kevin Love (PF)
Omer Yurtseven (C)
Cody Zeller (PF)
Jimmy Butler (PF)
Haywood Highsmith (SF)
Injuries
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wesley Matthews (SG) | Prob Wed | Calf - 18 / 04 / 23 | 1-3 | 4-0 | + - |
Matthews is dealing with a right calf strain, but it is anticipated that he will suit up against the Heat in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round. |
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Brook Lopez (C) | Out Sun | Rest - 09 / 04 / 23 | 1-5 | 6-0 | + - |
Lopez will be out of the lineup Sunday against the Raptors as he is taking a rest day. |
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AJ Green (PG) | Ques Wed | Foot - 07 / 04 / 23 | 2-5 | 6-1 | + - |
Green is tending to right foot soreness, and it is uncertain if he will partake in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference first round versus the Heat. |
|||||
Brook Lopez (C) | Out Fri | Rest - 06 / 04 / 23 | 2-5 | 6-1 | + - |
Lopez was not be active for Friday's clash with the Grizzlies as he will receive a day of rest. |
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Pat Connaughton (SG) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 04 / 04 / 23 | 3-6 | 7-2 | + - |
Connaughton is hampered by a right ankle sprain, but it is likely that he will take the court against the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round. |
|||||
Grayson Allen (SG) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 03 / 04 / 23 | 3-6 | 7-2 | + - |
Allen is nursing a right ankle sprain, but it is projected that he will be available for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round with the Heat. |
|||||
Jevon Carter (PG) | Prob Wed | Knee - 03 / 04 / 23 | 3-6 | 7-2 | + - |
Carter missed the previous game with left knee soreness, but it is expected that he will line up for Wednesday's clash versus the Bulls. |
|||||
Khris Middleton (SF) | Prob Sun | Knee - 03 / 04 / 23 | 3-6 | 7-2 | + - |
Middleton is limited due to right knee soreness, but it is anticipated that he will line up against the Heat for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round. |
|||||
Grayson Allen (SG) | Ques Tues | Ankle - 02 / 04 / 23 | 3-7 | 8-2 | + - |
Allen exited the previous contest with a right ankle sprain, and it remains to be seen if he will lace up against the Wizards in Tuesday's clash. |
|||||
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF) | Elig Tues | Suspension - 01 / 04 / 23 | 3-7 | 8-2 | + - |
Antetokounmpo is going through a one-game suspension for an on-court incident, and he will be eligible to return against the Wizards on Tuesday. |
player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Zeller (PF) | Prob Wed | Foot - 06 / 06 / 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | + - |
Zeller is tending to a right foot sprain, but it is not expected to impact his status for Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets. |
|||||
Caleb Martin (SF) | Prob Sun | Illness - 03 / 06 / 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
Martin is nursing an illness, but it is not expected to affect his status for Game 2 for the NBA Finals against the Nuggets. |
|||||
Cody Zeller (PF) | Prob Sun | Foot - 03 / 06 / 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | + - |
Zeller is tending to a right foot sprain, but it is projected that he will face the Nuggets in Game 2 of the NBA finals. |
|||||
Gabe Vincent (SG) | Ques Mon | Ankle - 28 / 05 / 23 | 3-4 | 1-6 | + - |
Vincent is nursing a left ankle sprain, and it remains to be seen if he will dress for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Celtics. |
|||||
Gabe Vincent (SG) | Ques Sat | Ankle - 24 / 05 / 23 | 4-5 | 2-7 | + - |
Vincent is hobbled by a left ankle sprain, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference finals. |
|||||
Kevin Love (PF) | Prob Tues | Ankle - 21 / 05 / 23 | 5-5 | 3-7 | + - |
Love is nursing an ankle injury, but it is expected that he will partake in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Celtics. |
|||||
Omer Yurtseven (C) | Ques Fri | Nose - 18 / 05 / 23 | 6-6 | 4-8 | + - |
Yurtseven is tending to a nasal contusion, and it is uncertain if he will be active for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Celtics. |
|||||
Cody Zeller (PF) | Prob Wed | Illness - 15 / 05 / 23 | 6-6 | 4-8 | + - |
Zeller is ailing from an illness, but it is projected that he will be available for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Celtics. |
|||||
Jimmy Butler (PF) | Prob Fri | Ankle - 11 / 05 / 23 | 6-7 | 5-8 | + - |
Butler is dealing with a right ankle sprain, but he is still expected to be in the lineup for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals versus the Knicks. |
|||||
Haywood Highsmith (SF) | Prob Fri | Knee - 11 / 05 / 23 | 6-7 | 5-8 | + - |
Highsmith has tendinitis in his left knee, but it is not projected to affect his status ahead of the matchup against the Knicks in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. |
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Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 20 Apr 1:02pm MIL -5.5 -110 O +220 -110 Closing 22 Apr 11:51pm MIL -2 -110 O +215.5 -110 -
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Bucks Team Leaders
Points 31.1
Assists 7.39
Rebounds 11.78
FG% 55.3
Steals 1.18
Blocks 2.47
Points 22.91
Assists 5.31
Rebounds 9.17
FG% 62.7
Steals 1.83
Blocks 0.81
Points 23.8
Assists 8
Rebounds 11
FG% 66.7
Steals 1.4
Blocks 1.8
Points 26.91
Assists 5.86
Rebounds 9.87
FG% 61.5
Steals 1.82
Blocks 1
-
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Heat Team Leaders
Points 31.1
Assists 7.39
Rebounds 11.78
FG% 55.3
Steals 1.18
Blocks 2.47
Points 22.91
Assists 5.31
Rebounds 9.17
FG% 62.7
Steals 1.83
Blocks 0.81
Points 23.8
Assists 8
Rebounds 11
FG% 66.7
Steals 1.4
Blocks 1.8
Points 26.91
Assists 5.86
Rebounds 9.87
FG% 61.5
Steals 1.82
Blocks 1
-
Injuries
Wesley Matthews (SG)
Prob Wed Calf - 18 / 04 / 23Brook Lopez (C)
Out Sun Rest - 09 / 04 / 23AJ Green (PG)
Ques Wed Foot - 07 / 04 / 23Brook Lopez (C)
Out Fri Rest - 06 / 04 / 23Pat Connaughton (SG)
Prob Sun Ankle - 04 / 04 / 23Grayson Allen (SG)
Prob Sun Ankle - 03 / 04 / 23Jevon Carter (PG)
Prob Wed Knee - 03 / 04 / 23Khris Middleton (SF)
Prob Sun Knee - 03 / 04 / 23Grayson Allen (SG)
Ques Tues Ankle - 02 / 04 / 23Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF)
Elig Tues Suspension - 01 / 04 / 23Cody Zeller (PF)
Prob Wed Foot - 06 / 06 / 23Caleb Martin (SF)
Prob Sun Illness - 03 / 06 / 23Cody Zeller (PF)
Prob Sun Foot - 03 / 06 / 23Gabe Vincent (SG)
Ques Mon Ankle - 28 / 05 / 23Gabe Vincent (SG)
Ques Sat Ankle - 24 / 05 / 23Kevin Love (PF)
Prob Tues Ankle - 21 / 05 / 23Omer Yurtseven (C)
Ques Fri Nose - 18 / 05 / 23Cody Zeller (PF)
Prob Wed Illness - 15 / 05 / 23Jimmy Butler (PF)
Prob Fri Ankle - 11 / 05 / 23Haywood Highsmith (SF)
Prob Fri Knee - 11 / 05 / 23Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Wesley Matthews (SG) Prob Wed Calf - 18 / 04 / 23 1-3 4-0 + - Matthews is dealing with a right calf strain, but it is anticipated that he will suit up against the Heat in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round.
Brook Lopez (C) Out Sun Rest - 09 / 04 / 23 1-5 6-0 + - Lopez will be out of the lineup Sunday against the Raptors as he is taking a rest day.
AJ Green (PG) Ques Wed Foot - 07 / 04 / 23 2-5 6-1 + - Green is tending to right foot soreness, and it is uncertain if he will partake in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference first round versus the Heat.
Brook Lopez (C) Out Fri Rest - 06 / 04 / 23 2-5 6-1 + - Lopez was not be active for Friday's clash with the Grizzlies as he will receive a day of rest.
Pat Connaughton (SG) Prob Sun Ankle - 04 / 04 / 23 3-6 7-2 + - Connaughton is hampered by a right ankle sprain, but it is likely that he will take the court against the Heat in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round.
Grayson Allen (SG) Prob Sun Ankle - 03 / 04 / 23 3-6 7-2 + - Allen is nursing a right ankle sprain, but it is projected that he will be available for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round with the Heat.
Jevon Carter (PG) Prob Wed Knee - 03 / 04 / 23 3-6 7-2 + - Carter missed the previous game with left knee soreness, but it is expected that he will line up for Wednesday's clash versus the Bulls.
Khris Middleton (SF) Prob Sun Knee - 03 / 04 / 23 3-6 7-2 + - Middleton is limited due to right knee soreness, but it is anticipated that he will line up against the Heat for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round.
Grayson Allen (SG) Ques Tues Ankle - 02 / 04 / 23 3-7 8-2 + - Allen exited the previous contest with a right ankle sprain, and it remains to be seen if he will lace up against the Wizards in Tuesday's clash.
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (SF) Elig Tues Suspension - 01 / 04 / 23 3-7 8-2 + - Antetokounmpo is going through a one-game suspension for an on-court incident, and he will be eligible to return against the Wizards on Tuesday.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Cody Zeller (PF) Prob Wed Foot - 06 / 06 / 23 1-2 1-2 + - Zeller is tending to a right foot sprain, but it is not expected to impact his status for Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the Nuggets.
Caleb Martin (SF) Prob Sun Illness - 03 / 06 / 23 1-3 1-3 + - Martin is nursing an illness, but it is not expected to affect his status for Game 2 for the NBA Finals against the Nuggets.
Cody Zeller (PF) Prob Sun Foot - 03 / 06 / 23 1-3 1-3 + - Zeller is tending to a right foot sprain, but it is projected that he will face the Nuggets in Game 2 of the NBA finals.
Gabe Vincent (SG) Ques Mon Ankle - 28 / 05 / 23 3-4 1-6 + - Vincent is nursing a left ankle sprain, and it remains to be seen if he will dress for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Celtics.
Gabe Vincent (SG) Ques Sat Ankle - 24 / 05 / 23 4-5 2-7 + - Vincent is hobbled by a left ankle sprain, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference finals.
Kevin Love (PF) Prob Tues Ankle - 21 / 05 / 23 5-5 3-7 + - Love is nursing an ankle injury, but it is expected that he will partake in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Celtics.
Omer Yurtseven (C) Ques Fri Nose - 18 / 05 / 23 6-6 4-8 + - Yurtseven is tending to a nasal contusion, and it is uncertain if he will be active for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Celtics.
Cody Zeller (PF) Prob Wed Illness - 15 / 05 / 23 6-6 4-8 + - Zeller is ailing from an illness, but it is projected that he will be available for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Celtics.
Jimmy Butler (PF) Prob Fri Ankle - 11 / 05 / 23 6-7 5-8 + - Butler is dealing with a right ankle sprain, but he is still expected to be in the lineup for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals versus the Knicks.
Haywood Highsmith (SF) Prob Fri Knee - 11 / 05 / 23 6-7 5-8 + - Highsmith has tendinitis in his left knee, but it is not projected to affect his status ahead of the matchup against the Knicks in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinals.