Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, NBA Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated Feb 15, 2024

NBA: Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks

Thursday’s NBA slate is a light one as the league heads into All-Star Game weekend, but there’s business to attend to between the Milwaukee Bucks and Memphis Grizzlies.

February 15, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
Pointspread -14.5 -105
Moneyline -1100
Over / Under o +222.5
Pointspread +14.5 -115
Moneyline +675
Over / Under u +222.5

Milwaukee is still finding its way under new coach Doc Rivers. There has been some good, such as the 112-95 demolition of the Denver Nuggets on Monday. There has been some bad, such as the 123-97 battering received on Tuesday at the hands of the Miami Heat – sans Jimmy Butler. As for the Memphis Grizzlies, it seems like the mission is to survive the current campaign. Too many star players are injured for them to be a serious threat in the West, although they did beat the Rockets 121-113 on Wednesday.

Milwaukee is expected to have its way with Memphis. The group is perched as considerable -11.5 favourites on the NBA odds.

Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA Betting Odds

This might sound crazy, but the Grizzlies have won the last three meetings between these sides. Before anyone’s jaw drops to the floor, it’s important to note that the most recent one came in April at the very end of the regular season when Milwaukee hadn’t much to play for. Before that the Bucks fell to a Grizzlies squad that looked far different than today. That was a team on its way to finishing second in the West two years in a row.

To that point, Memphis has taken four of the last five games, suggesting Milwaukee struggles quite a bit against this franchise.

A look at the Milwaukee injuries list is quite a sight. Both Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo are listed as day-to-day, albeit probable. With both surely hoping to partake in the All-Star Game fun, they may not be major presences tonight. All the scoring in the world has not helped the Bucks earn a good record against the spread this season. The 22-33-1 tally is in large part due to the drastic worsening of the defence. As of today, they rank 23rd in points allowed per game whereas they finished 14th last season.

The Grizzlies will take what small victories they can get. Or in this case, betters will. Not that 26-29 ATS is anything to write home about, but it looks better than what their opponents have mustered so far. They also have a knack for covering games they lose. They’re 5-4 the last nine times that’s happened. In case anyone forgot, Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane still have a few weeks before their injuries will be re-evaluated.

Milwaukee Bucks

Hosting the Nuggets and Heat on back-to-back nights was tough scheduling by the NBA. In a twist, the Bucks looked amazing versus the champions, but terrible versus the Heat.

Lest we forget the Floridian side eliminated Milwaukee in the first round of the playoffs last year. The Heat defence was more than up to the task of nullifying the Bucks’ second-ranked attack (122.2 points per game). The hosts didn’t hit 30 points in any quarter and fewer than 25 in three of them, not to mention winning none of the four periods. Milwaukee underperformed from three in relation to their season average, only going 33 per cent. Miami was simply the more fluid team, out-assisting the home side 34-24.

Lillard isn’t known as a lockdown defender, but a -25 night is terrible. Malik Beasley had a decent 6-for-10 game, including 4-for-8 from long range, finishing with 16 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

Wednesday night’s 121-113 victory over the Houston Rockets allowed Memphis to exhale a considerable sigh of relief. Not only was the contest a tough one, but it also halted a woeful nine-game losing streak. It just goes to show how much the franchise’s 2023-2024 plans have gone into a tailspin.

There was a Derrick Rose sighting, with the veteran finishing with a team-high 20 points. Jaren Jackson Jr. fought off foul trouble to muster 18 points. Luke Kennard also pitched in with a solid 19-point evening, including a sweet-looking 4-for-6 line from three-point range. But the win was hard fought as a 23-point lead melted into a one-point advantage in the late stages before the Grizzlies pulled away.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Bucks vs. Grizzlies?

NBA Predictions