Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Game 6 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 17, 2021

Set to play Game 6 at home, Atlanta is one win away from a berth in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Philadelphia
49-23
AT
June 18, 2021, 7:30 PM ET
State Farm Arena
Atlanta
41-31
Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -157
Over / Under o +223.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +130
Over / Under u +223.5

56%

Betting Action

44%

The season is on the line for the Eastern Conference top-seeded Philadelphia 76ers on Friday night as they visit the fifth-seeded Atlanta Hawks down 3-2 in their series. However, the Sixers are 3-point favourites to win Game 6 on the NBA odds with a total of 221.5 points.

76ers vs. Hawks NBA Playoff Odds

With Atlanta now up 3-2 in this series, the Hawks are, for the first time, favoured (-167) to win the series. The Sixers are +140. Yet to win the Eastern Conference, Philadelphia (+550) is ahead of Atlanta (+800). That’s oddsmakers believing the Sixers have a better shot in the East Finals against either Brooklyn or Milwaukee than the Hawks would.

Wednesday was a very unusual night of Game 5s around the NBA as the top-seeded team in each conference, Philadelphia and Utah, was at least a 7-point favourite to take a 3-2 series lead, yet both lost outright at home.

If there is a Game 7 in this series, it would be Sunday back in Philadelphia. If there’s not a Game 7, there are going to be significant changes with the 76ers, mark my words. They are 1-6 against the spread in their past seven games in Atlanta. The over is 8-3 in the past 11 meetings there.

Philadelphia 76ers

Sixers fans are crushing Coach Doc Rivers right now, and perhaps deservedly so. His team blew an 18-point lead in Game 4 and lost in Atlanta. On Wednesday Rivers’ club blew a 26-point third-quarter lead and was shocked 109-106 at home. That’s easily one of the biggest postseason choke jobs in NBA history. The 76ers were 165-0 in the past 25 seasons when leading by at least 25 points at any point in a game. When the Sixers were up 70-44 with about nine minutes left in the third, they were given a 99.7 per cent chance of winning via ESPN’s models and Atlanta was around +3500 on the live odds to win.

Joel Embiid bounced back from an awful Game 4 with 37 points and 13 rebounds but missed two crucial late free-throws – he had made 20 in a row prior to that. Seth Curry blew up for 36 points, but no other 76ers player had more than eight. In fact, no Sixers player other than Embiid and Curry made a basket in the entire second half. That should be impossible. All-Star Ben Simmons (he might be traded this off-season) was nothing short of terrible offensively as was Tobias Harris. The Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their past five following an ATS loss.

Atlanta Hawks

Momentum completely changed for the Hawks with just under two minutes remaining in the third quarter when coach Nate McMillan brought in three-time NBA Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams but also kept in star guard Trae Young. They don’t play together often because while both are great scorers, they are horrible defenders. However, Williams started making everything in sight and then Young got hot as well.

In the final quarter, Atlanta outscored Philadelphia 40-19 (15-2 run to close it) with the Hawks shooting 16-for-22 from the field. Young finished with 39 points (17-for-19 from free-throw line) and Williams 15 points (13 in the fourth) and a whopping plus-31 rating in his 23 minutes. That the Hawks won despite getting a combined 12 points from starters Clint Capela, Bogdan Bogdanovic and Kevin Huerter is astonishing. It’s possible that forward Cam Reddish could play in Game 6. He has been out since late February but has been medically cleared. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its past five after a win.

NBA Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win 76ers vs. Hawks?

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