NASCAR Odds & Predictions: Pocono Organics 325

David Bastl | Thu. Jun 25 2020, 02:06 pm

Kyle Busch Pocono

The trick to winning at Pocono? Don’t take the lead until late in the race. Kyle Busch has dominated this track. Will he do it again?

Pocono Raceway in Long Pond Pennsylvania will host a pair of NASCAR races this weekend starting with the Pocono Organics 325 on Saturday and the Pocono 350 on Sunday.

Last weekend at Talladega, Ryan Blaney (at +1100) took the Geico 500 in thrilling fashion edging out Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Aric Almirola who placed third. It was Blaney’s first checkered flag of the 2020 NASCAR season. Blaney is currently listed at +1000 to win this race.

Pocono Organics 325

  • Kyle Busch +415
  • Kevin Harvick +500
  • Denny Hamlin +550
  • Chase Elliott +600
  • Martin Truex Jr +700
  • Brad Keselowski +700
  • Joey Logano +1000
  • Ryan Blaney +1000
  • Alex Bowman +1600
  • William Byron +1800
  • Erik Jones +1800
  • Kurt Busch +2000
  • Jimmie Johnson +2200
  • Field +2500
  • Tyler Reddick +3500
  • Aric Almirola +4000
  • Clint Bowyer +5000
  • Bubba Wallace +8000
  • Ryan Newman +8000
  • Christopher Bell +10000
  • Austin Dillon +10000
  • Matt Kenseth +10000
  • Matt DiBenedetto +10000
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr +10000
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Racing Analysis

Race analysis for The Pocono Organics 325. Pocono Raceway is known as the “Tricky Triangle.” But, what is the trick to winning the event? Perhaps hanging back of the lead pack. Eight of the last 12 winners at this track did not lead their first lap until after the halfway mark of the race, six of which didn’t lead until the ticker hit triple digits of the 160-lap event.

Sports Interaction is offering points leader Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch as the co-favourites at +500 entering Saturday’s race (3:30pmET).

Denny Hamlin was the last winner on this track (July 28, 2019) at the Gander RV 400 and is expected to be a contender in this race as well, serving it up at +550. He leads all drivers with three wins this season.

Brad Keselowski has cooled off after winning races last month. He’s only taken the checkered flag at Pocono once before, but his level of consistency has been strong at the Tricky Triangle, placing second or third a total of five times. He is chalked at +750 to win on Saturday.

Of note, Chris Buescher (+6000) and John Hunter Nemechek (+6000) were massive underdogs last week at Talladega, and both finished with respectable top-10 finishes. Not surprisingly, they are long shots once again this weekend. Could they challenge for a top three position (an even way bet EW) in Pennsylvania?

Prediction

Since July 31, 2017 Pocono Raceway has hosted five NASCAR races and the same familiar name has shown up in the winner’s circle three times; Kyle Busch. Busch has owned this track in the last three years (Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. also won events on this track since 2017) and now in 2020 is looking for his first NASCAR win.

Busch also has six top-five finishes this season, perhaps Pocono will be the place that he breaks into the win column. In his last seven starts, he’s placed no worse than ninth every time.

 Kyle Busch at +1000 is my selection to win the Pocono Organics 325.

SportsInteraction