UFC Fight Night 175 Odds: Robbie Lawler vs. Neil Magny Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 26, 2020

robbie lawler

The penultimate fight of Saturday’s UFC Fight Night event from Las Vegas features Americans Robbie Lawler and Neil Magny in a welterweight bout.

Magny is a -235 favourite on the MMA odds with Lawler at +170.

The current welterweight champion is Kamaru Usman, with Lawler ranked 13th in the division and Magny 14th. Magny originally was to fight 11th-ranked Geoff Neal on this card, but Neal had to withdraw with a serious issue that wasn’t coronavirus-related but had Neal suffering from severe septic shock when he was admitted to the hospital early this month. He had to be hooked up to a dialysis machine and was in intensive care for a week but is okay now.

UFC Fight Night - Robbie Lawler v Neil Magny

  • Neil Magny -275
  • Robbie Lawler +200

Robbie Lawler UFC Fight Night Odds

The 38-year-old Lawler (28-14) is an all-time fan favourite in this sport because he is such a home-run threat – i.e. his fights are never boring. Almost impossibly, “Ruthless” has been fighting professionally since 2001. His first-ever title came in a win over Murilo Rua in the Elite XC in 2007.

Lawler fought twice for a middleweight belt in Strikeforce and lost both. His UFC debut came in February 2013 when he beat Josh Koscheck by first-round TKO (punches). Lawler’s first UFC title shot was a welterweight fight with Johny Hendricks, but he lost. Lawler would get revenge and win the belt at UFC 181 by split decision. He defended it twice before a first-round loss to Tyron Woodley at UFC 201.

Very doubtful Lawler gets another title shot at his age and considering he has dropped four of five including that Woodley loss, but “Ruthless” sure doesn’t duck anyone as he has fought Donald Cerrone, Rafael dos Anjos, Ben Askren and Colby Covington in that span.

Lawler’s UFC fights have averaged 11:33, he lands 3.57 significant strikes per minute (absorbs 4.16) and averages 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes with 66 per cent accuracy. His takedown defence is 65 per cent. Twenty of Lawler’s victories are by KO/TKO and three of his losses.

Neil Magny UFC Fight Night Odds

Magny (23-7), 33, is a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu who has been fighting professionally since 2010. His UFC debut came in 2012 in “the Ultimate Fighter 16” where he reached the semifinals and lost to Mike Ricci. Magny likes to stay busy as in 2015 he fought a whopping five times.

For the most part, Magny has lost to his top competition like Demian Maia and Rafael dos Anjos, but he also owns a win over Hendricks via unanimous decision at UFC 207. “The Haitian Sensation” enters on a two-fight winning streak, last in the Octagon in June and beating Anthony Rocco Martin by unanimous decision.

Magny’s UFC fights average 12:02, he lands 3.95 significant strikes per minute (absorbs 2.17) and averages 2.55 takedowns per 15 minutes with 44 percent accuracy. His takedown defence is 58 per cent. Thirteen of his 23 wins are by decision and four of his seven losses via submission.

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Lawler vs. Magny Prediction

Magny is four inches taller than Lawler and has four inches of reach, but Lawler is the better boxer/striker. Magny will need to use his reach to keep Lawler at bay. He will, so back Magny by decision.