UFC 315 Odds, Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot

Valentina Shevchenko’s win came on the heels of a stunning loss to Alexa Grasso at UFC 285, where she saw her long-time reign as UFC women’s flyweight champion ended by a fourth-round submission loss, which was followed by a split draw with Grasso at their rematch last fall at Noche UFC. Undefeated in 12 fights since losing in her professional debut, Manon Fiorot has been idle since claiming a unanimous decision win over Erin Blanchfield 14 months ago at UFC Atlantic City and has now received a unanimous nod from the judges in each of her past five octagon appearances.

Fiorot’s long layoff has not hurt her on the UFC 315 odds, where she leads the way as a narrow -135 favourite. Shevchenko trails as a +110 underdog and the odds of this fight going the distance sit at -285.

Valentina Shevchenko UFC 315 Odds

After coming out of her epic trilogy with Alexa Grasso once again perched as UFC women’s flyweight champion, Valentina Shevchenko now faces the task of demonstrating the dominant form that UFC betting fans had become accustomed to during her initial five-year reign atop the decision. Shevchenko showed flashes of that in her most recent outing, racking up an impressive 16:04 of control time while successfully taking down Grasso eight times.Indeed, Shevchenko appeared to gain momentum as that five-round clash continued, with all three judges awarding all five rounds to “Bullet”.

Overall, Shevchenko has seen three of her past four fights go the distance but has also demonstrated her ability to finish opponents standing or on the mat including devastating TKO wins over Lauren Murphy, Jessica Andrade, Katlyn Chookagian, and Jessica Eye during her first reign as champion.

Manon Fiorot UFC 315 Odds

The No. 2 contender in the UFC women’s flyweight division, Manon Fiorot gets ready for her first UFC title bid riding a perfect 7-0 record since making her UFC debut at UFC Fight Island 8. However, she has finished an opponent just twice over that stretch, tallying TKO wins over Victoria Leonardo and Tabatha Ricci in her first two octagon appearances. But while Fiorot has shown her ability to go the distance, her recent clash with Erin Blanchfield marked the first time she has seen action in championship rounds since winning the EFC women’s flyweight title almost six years.

A skilled striker, Fiorot is far more comfortable on her feet and has had limited success changing levels. The 35-year-old from Nice, France is among the active leaders in the division in strikes landed per minute and striking differential and despite her limited abilities on the mat, Fiorot is tops among active UFC women’s flyweights in bottom position time and percentage.

UFC 315 Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot

Fiorot’s fierce and overwhelming striking are key to her success but expecting her to match Shevchenko’s vast experience in championship rounds, title fights, and on the may may be too much to expect. Look for the champion to wear down Fiorot over the course of a marathon matchup and eke out a decisive win by decision.

Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko by decision/technical decision (+200)