UFC 315 Odds, Prediction: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena

Belal Muhammad claimed the UFC welterweight strap with a unanimous decision win over Leon Edwards last summer at UFC 304, extending his current undefeated streak to 11 fights. A former Eternal MMA and Reign Fighting welterweight champion, Jack Della Maddalena has been dominant since joining the UFC in 2021, winning eight straight including four finishes inside five minutes, and enters his first bid for a UFC crown pegged as the No. 5 contender in the UFC welterweight division.

Muhammad has emerged as a -190 favourite on the UFC 315 odds. Della Maddalena sports +160 odds of extending his win streak while the odds of this clash going a full five rounds are pegged at -150.

Belal Muhammad UFC 315 Odds

Belal Muhammad eked out a somewhat narrow decision in his bid for the UFC welterweight title last summer but largely dominated in his clash with Leon Edwards. The 36-year-old American out-struck Edwards by a massive 192-89 margin and executed nine takedowns that enabled him to rack up an impressive 12:02 of control time in this contest. The win marked the third time in four fights that Muhammad earned a unanimous nod from the judges after going a full five rounds and the eighth time he has seen a fight going the distance during an 11-fight unbeaten stretch that features 10 wins and one no-contest.

“Remember the Name” now ranks second among active UFC welterweights with 12 wins by decision and is also among the division leaders in both total strikes landed and takedowns landed. Overall, the 36-year-old sports a pro MMA record of 24-3 and has not been finished by an opponent since suffering a first-round KO loss to Vicente Luque back in November 2016.

Jack Della Maddalena UFC 315 Odds

Like Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena has recently demonstrated his ability to go the distance, with two of his past three fights decided by the judges. However, the 28-year-old Australian has never seen action in championship rounds. A prolific striker, Della Maddalena has regularly out-struck opponents and has seen 12 of his 17 career wins some by KO or TKO. He also has two submission wins to his credit, including a first-round finish of Randy Brown in front of hometown fans at UFC 284, and has taken home performance bonuses in fight of his past six octagon appearances. However, Della Maddalena can get himself into trouble with level changes and has been taken down 10 times over his past three fights.

UFC 315 Prediction: Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena

Muhammad brings considerable championship round experience into his first title defence and his proven ability to outlast opponents and effectively change levels gives him a clear edge of Della Maddalena, who is at risk of getting worn down over the long haul of this five-round main even matchup.

Prediction: Belal Muhammad by KO/TKO, DQ (+700)