UFC 260 Odds: Tyron Woodley vs. Vicente Luque

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Mar 26, 2021

"The Silent Assassin" loves a good brawl.  He has the technical striking ability to pick his shots, but he's also perfectly happy throwing haymakers until someone drops.

There will be a lot on the line for both fighters when former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley squares off with Vicente Luque in the co-main event of UFC 260 in Las Vegas on Saturday.

Just two years ago, Woodley was atop the welterweight division and looked almost unbeatable.  Since then, he’s dropped three straight fights and questions are beginning to creep in about his fighting future.  Luque has won his last two fights and is looking to prove he’s ready for the next step.  A win against a name like Woodley would go a long way in proving he’s ready for bigger opportunities.

Luque comes into this fight as a -220 favourite to win on the MMA odds, while Woodley is at +155.

Tyron Woodley UFC 260 Odds

It looks like Woodley (19-6 MMA record) is at a crossroads in his career.  No matter how big of name Woodley is, a fourth straight loss at 38-years-old won’t bode well for his UFC future.  Before he lost the welterweight belt to current champion Kamaru Usman at UFC 235, Woodley hadn’t lost in seven fights.  Unfortunately, he hasn’t looked good since then.  He was dominated in unanimous decision losses to Usman and Gilbert Burns.  He followed those losses by tapping out in the fifth round against Colby Covington in his last fight.  Regardless of how good he has been in the past, it’ll be tough for Woodley to silence the questions about his future if he loses again on Saturday.

“The Chosen One” has always been a patient and explosive fighter and that won’t change because he’s fallen on hard times.  He likes to take away his opponents’ attacks before they can make their move.  Woodley’s big right hand is always a threat, but he’s also comfortable going for the takedown.  He averages 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes and has an 87 per cent takedown defence, both better numbers than Luque.  Watch for Woodley to essentially lull Luque into a false sense of security before unleashing huge shots.  Woodley has proven time after time that if you sleep on him, he can end a fight in seconds.

Vicente Luque UFC 260 Odds

Luque (19-7) is looking to break into title contention with a win on Saturday.  He’s won eight of his last nine fights, including seven stoppages, and he comes into this bout on a two-fight win streak.  The 29-year-old’s last loss was by unanimous decision to Stephen Thompson at UFC 244.  Luque then fought twice in 2020.  He beat Niko Price by a doctor stoppage in the third round at UFC 249, before earning Fight of the Night honours with a second round knockout of Randy Brown in August.  Another strong performance against Woodley could set Luque up for a big money fight in the second half of the year.

“The Silent Assassin” loves a good brawl.  He has the technical striking ability to pick his shots, but he’s also perfectly happy throwing haymakers until someone drops.  Luque lands an average of 5.72 significant strikes per minute, compared to just 2.33 for Woodley.  The problem is, he takes a lot of damage, absorbing 5.82 significant strikes per minute, while Woodley only absorbs 2.72.  His strikes are clean and precise and he’s also a threat on the ground with submissions.  Bottom line, Luque is a finisher.

Woodley vs. Luque UFC 260 Prediction

You can’t look past Woodley in this fight.  He’s only two years removed from reigning over the welterweight division and he’s been a dangerous threat for years.  This fight is essentially Woodley’s experience versus Luque’s brawling.  Luque’s run-and-gun style isn’t sustainable to go on any significant win streaks, but it’s likely enough to get by Woodley in this one.  Look for a Luque KO by the third round.